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《Progress in Geophysics》 2010-03
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Forecast EL Nino events based on SOM network

ZHANG Zhi-guo~(1,2),YANG Yi-heng~3,LIN Ding~4,LIU Wei~4,DONG Xiao-gang~5(1.School of Earth Science,Guilin University of Technology,Guilin 541001,China;2.School of Remote Sensing and Information Engineering,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430079,China;3.School of Basic Science,Beijing Information Science & Technology University,Beijing 100085,China;4.Dept.of Basic Science,Jilin Architectural and Civil Engineering Institute,Changchun 130021,China;5.School of Basic Science,Changchun University of Technology,Changchun 130012,China)  
Based on the three causes of EL Nino events,this work uses the SOM neural network to build up the SOM network EL Nino event forecast model in terms of the number of earthquake,condition of solar-eclipse and average of sea-temperature during 1976 to 1990.Then we use this model to forecast the EL Nino event during 1996 to 2000.The accuracy rate is fairly high.
【Fund】: 国家863项目(2001AA135120-2)资助
【CateGory Index】: P732
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