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《Progress in Geophysics》 2015-02
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Forward modeling of compaction-driven pressure evolution:examples from ODP 1148 site

SUN Yun-bao;ZHAO Tie-hu;QIN Ke;Key Laboratory of Marine Hydrocarbon Resource and Geology,Qingdao Institute of Marine Geology;Qingdao Institute of Marine Geology;  
Considering that gas hydrate formation is an extremely complex dynamic,the conventional resources evaluation model of volumetric method has been difficult to meet the needs of hydrate exploration.Pressure is one of the most important parameters for natural gas hydrate resource evaluation,which will help us getting the stress evolution characteristics in the hydrate accumulation area.Previous pressure prediction methods mostly rely on the empirical formula using the velocity information.The estimates had lower forecast precision and ambiguous geological meaning of parameters,which were unsuitable to reservoir predict.Forward modeling of compaction-driven pressure evolution can not only analyze the current tectonic stress field,but model the geologic evolution process with the organic combination of geological and geophysical study.Combining the seismic data and logging from ODP1148 site,a mathematical model based on compaction theory is established and the relationship between the velocity and porosity,density and effective stress is build.By compared with the real data,the errors are analyzed and compared.Simulating results show that the sedimentation rate and the permeability coefficient have great influence on pressure field.Adding sedimentation rate will get larger porosity,more overpressure and major fluid pressure,moreover,increasing permeability coefficient will get smaller porosity,lesser overpressure and minor fluid pressure.The errors between model data and real data are small.The errors may be caused by both parameters.Our study show that the forward modeling method of compaction-driven pressure evolution can be a component of hydrate resource evaluation technology system.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(41306037);; 中国博士后基金(2012M521296);; 中国地质调查局国家专项项目(GZH201100308)联合资助
【CateGory Index】: P744.4
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