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《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 2003-06
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VISCOELASTIC TRIGGERING AMONG LARGE EARTHQUAKES ALONG THE EAST KUNLUN FAULT SYSTEM

SHEN ZHENGKANG 1,2 WAN YONGGE 1,3 GAN WEIJUN 1 ZENG YUEHUA 4 REN QUN 1 1 Institute of Geology, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing, 100029, China 2 Dept of Earth and Space Sciences,University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1567, USA 3 College of Disaster Prevention Technique, Yanjiao, Beijing, 101601, China 4 Seismological Lab, University of Nevada, Reno, NV 89577, USA  
We study the stress transfer and triggering of large earthquakes along the East Kunlun fault system, northern Tibet. Five M≥7 earthquakes occurred along the fault zone during the past 70 years are considered: the M7.5 Huashi Canyon earthquake, the 1963 M S 7.1 Dulan earthquake, the 1973 M S7.3 Manyi earthquake, the 1997 M S7.5 Manyi earthquake, and the 2001 M W7.8 Kokoxili earthquake. We simulate the stress evolution process produced by seismic dislocations in layered viscoelastic media, and calculate the Coulomb failure stress change on the fault plane of each subsequent earthquake. The result shows that the Coulomb failure stress on the fault plane of the Kokoxili earthquake was increased by the previous 4 earthquakes, and theviscoelastic relaxation gradually enhanced the Coulomb failure stress field as time elapsed. By evaluating the Coulomb failure stress changes produced by the coseismic rupture and viscoelastic relaxation of the 4 preceding large earthquakes, we find that the Coulomb failure stress changes produced by the viscoelastic relaxation are much more significant than that produced by the coseismic deformation in 3 of the 4 earthquakes. The stress field simulation indicates that after the Kokoxili earthquake the Coulomb failure stress in the Xidatan-Dongdatan segment (between the Kokoxili and Dulan segments) of the East Kunlun fault is increased as much as 0.05~0.10 MPa, implying increased probability of seismic hazard in this region.
【Fund】: 国家基础研究重大项目前期研究专项 ( 2 0 0 2CCA0 45 0 0 );; 国家自然科学基金 ( 4 0 1740 19)
【CateGory Index】: P315
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