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《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 1994-06
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THE LOAD-UNLOAD RESPONSE RATIO THEORY:A NEW APPROACH TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

YIN XIANG-CHU;CHEN XUE-ZHONG;SONG ZHI-PING;YIN CAN(Center for Analysis and Prediction,State Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100036)(Institute of Geophysics,SSB,Beijing 100081)(China Disaster Reduction Press,Beijing 100036)  
The Load-Unload Response Ratio(LURR)theory has been proposed and developed.A new parameter Y called LURR can measure the unstable degree for a nonlinear system.It could be applied to predict earthquake and other geological disasters.The retrospective examination of earthquake cases with magnitude from M=4 to M=8 indicates that the Y values increase markedly and much larger than 1 before the mainshock for 80% cases.Some moderate earthquakes occurred in Chinese Mainland and the Northridge earthquake(Jan.17,1994,Northridge,USA)has been predicted beforehand In terms of this method.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金 地震科学联合基金 国家地震局八·五攻关项目
【CateGory Index】: P315.7
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【Co-references】
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7 QIN Si-qing;YANG Bai-cun;XUE Lei;LI Pei;WU Xiao-wa;Key Laboratory of Shale Gas and Geoengineering,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;;The identification of mainshock events for main seismic zones in the Eurasian seismic belt[J];地球物理学进展;2016-02
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