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《SCIENTIA ATMOSPHERICA SINICA》 2000-04
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Analysis of Circulation Variations over the Tibetan Plateau and Drought-Flood Anomalies on Its Eastern Side

Li Yueqing (Chengdu Institute of Plateau Meteorology, Chengdu 610071)  
Using Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) technique, the relationship between 100 hPa height over the Tibetan Plateau and summer rainfall on its eastern side is studied. The result shows that the first mode derived from SVD indicates the key coupled characteristics of the height and the rainfall fields with closely time-space correlation. There is an obvious connection between the 100 hPa height over the Tibetan Plateau in previous October-December and January-April and the summer rainfall on its eastern side. The variation of previous height field, by influencing the regime of the South Asia High, results in the drought-flood anomalies in summer on the eastern side of the Tibetan Plateau. In severe drought (flood) years, the 100 hPa height is of negative (positive) departures over the eastern side of the Tibetan Plateau. The asynchronous relationship between the height and rainfall fields with significant correlation, long time intervals and obvious interpretation are a strong signal of the prediction of drought-flood anomalies in summer on the eastern side of the Tibetan Plateau.
【Fund】: 国家“九五”科技攻关项目!96-90 8-0 5-0 5专题资助
【CateGory Index】: P426.616
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