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《Earth Science Frontiers》 2001-02
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THE PROGRESS OF FORECAST RESEARCH ON IMPENDING VIOLENT EARTHQUAKES

REN Zhen\|qiu 1, LI Jun\|zhi 2, ZENG Xiao\|ping 3 (1 Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081,China;2 Beijing Polytechnic University, Beijing 100022,China;3 Institute of Geophysics, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100081  
Short term and impending earthquake predictions are still well known hard challenges in the world This paper summarizes the study progress on the impending earthquake prediction by Chinese scientists from the method of multi subject intersection and the internal and external factors coupling Depending on very hard work during recent years, they get some important signals of predicting impending earthquakes, including the anomalies of infrasonic sound wave, crustal stress, behavior of budgerigars, general geoelectric, geomagnetic, satellite heat infrared and high frequency gravity pulsation The authors have discovered an important triggering factor of a violent earthquakes—the abnormal superimposition of tide generating force resonance from typical analysis and compared all astronomical and geophysical factors. Based on these, the examinational immediate prediction has been carried out by combining the tide generating force resonance with the impending signals for last six years The results show that the successful ratio of three basic elements of earthquake prediction accounts for 40% At last, the authors give some views on the impending violent earthquake problem
【Fund】: 中国科学技术攀登项目!特别支持费 ;联合国“减灾科学与公共管理相结合全球计划”经费资助
【CateGory Index】: P315.7
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