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《Sichuan University of Arts and Science Journal》 2009-05
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A New Method of Prediction Capacity in Compact Clastic Rock Reservoir

HUANG Jian-hong1,WANG Hong-hui2,ZENG Jian-yi1,DUAN Xin-guo1,CAI Zuo-hua1(1.College of Energy Sources,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu Sichuan 610059,China;2.Office of SASU,Sichuan University of Arts and Science,Dazhou Sichuan 635000,China)  
It is always difficult to predict production capacity in reservoir accurately.This paper proposes a method of prediction capacity based on support vector regression(SVR) to solve this problem.Support vector machine(SVM),which is a new machine study arithmetic based on statistical learning theory,can solve small-sample problems better.It succeeds in classification and prediction.33 samples tested(23 of them were used to form the model and the others were used to examine the precision of the model) from the compact clastic reservoir in Shaxumiao Formation of Xinchang gas field were selected,and the capacity prediction model based on SVR was established by using h,Δt-Δtmaε,φf,Kf,φand ΔR as input and using the capacity of reservoir as output.The normative error of capacity prediction model is 0.0416,and the average absolute error is only 0.0229.Therefore,the model formed is a new method for predicting capacity in clatic reservoir rock,and will provide useful reference for similar research in other regions.
【CateGory Index】: TE328
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