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《Geological Review》 2008-03
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Review of Landslide Prediction and Forecast Research in China

WANG Nianqin,WANG Yongfeng,LUO Donghai,YAO Yong Dept.of Geology and Environment Engineering,Xi'an University of Science & Technology,Xi'an,710054  
Landslide prediction and forecast are important ways to prevent effectively landslide failure.The research history of landslide prediction and forecast in China was divided into four stages:①experience judgment — preventing and avoiding failure passively stage;②qualitative — semi quantitative analysis prediction and forecast stage;③theoretical method exploration — testing prediction and forecast stage;④theoretical method deepening and integrative application prediction and forecast stage.Review tersely from monitoring(observation)methods,prediction and forecast methods and the characteristics of research.Sum up the research status quo of monitoring methods(means),the prediction and forecast theories and methods.There are still some problems:① the accuracy of monitoring methods(means)are inadequate;② synthesis and practicability of prediction and forecast methods are not effective;③ prediction and forecast specialized theoretical issues are yet to be perfect.Some viewpoints of the writers are put forward and the development trend is discussed.
【CateGory Index】: P642.22
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