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《Acta Seismologica Sinica》 2005-06
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QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS FOR TECTONIC DEFORMATION ON ACTIVE RUPTURE ZONES

Jiang Zaisen Niu Anfu Wang Min Li Kaiwu Fang Ying Zhang Xi Zhang Xiaoliang Institute of Earthquake Science , China Earthquake Administration , Beijing 100036, China China Earthquake Networks Center. China Earthquake Administration , Beijing 100036, China Second Crust Monitoring and Application Center, China Earthquake Administration , Xi'an 710054. China  
On the basis of the regional GPS data with a higher spatial resolution, we present a quantitative analysis method for tectonic deformation of active rupture zones in order to predict the location of forthcoming great earthquakes. Firstly we divide the main fault area into certain deformation units; then derive the geometric deformation and relative dislocation parameters of each unit; and finally quantitatively estimate the slip and strain rates in each segment of the rupture zone. Furthermore, by comparing the consistency of deformation in all segments of the whole rupture zone, we can determine the possible a-nomalous segments as well as their properties and amplitudes. In analyzing the east boundaries of Sichuan-Yunnan block with reference to the GPS velocity data in the period of 1991-2001, we have discovered that the Mianning-Ningnan-Dongchuan segment on the Zemuhe-Xiaojiang fault zone is relatively locked and the left-lateral shear strain rate here is higher.
【Fund】: 科技部社会公益研究重点项目(2004DIA3J01O)和国家“十五”重点科技攻关项目(2004BA601B01-02-01)资助.
【CateGory Index】: P315.2
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