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《Acta Seismologica Sinica》 2008-06
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Study on visco-elastic stress triggering model of the 1976 Tangshan earthquake sequence

Wan Yongge~(?) Shen Zhengkang~(3)) Zeng Yuehua~(4)) Sheng Shuzhong~(1)) Xu Xiaofeng~(2)) 1)Institute of Disaster-Prevention Science and Technology,Sanhe City,Hebei Province,065201,China 2)Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100081,China 3)School of Earth and Space Science,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China 4)U.S.Geology Survey,Golden,CO 80401,USA  
We calculated the Coulomb failure stress change generated by the 1976 Tangshan earthquake and projected the stress change onto the fault planes in slip directions of the large follow-up aftershocks.A visco-elastic media is as- sumed in the model.Results of previous studies on co-seismic slip distribution of the Tangshan earthquake,and on crustal velocity and viscosity structures, are used for constraining the model.Effect of the local pore fluid pressure and impact of soft medium near the fault are also considered.Our result shows that the subsequent Luanxian and Ninghe aftershock occurred in the region of in- creased Coulomb failure stress produced by the Tangshan mainshock.To study the triggering effect of the Tangshan,Luanxian,and Ninghe earthquakes to the follow-up small earthquakes,we firstly evaluated the possible focal mechanisms of small earthquakes according to the regional stress field and co-seismic slip distributions derived from previous studies,and assumed a regional tectonic shear stress of 10 MPa.By projecting the stress changes generated by the above three earthquakes to the possible fault planes in slip directions of small earth- quakes,we found that the "butterfly" distribution pattern of increased Coulomb failure stress is consistent with the spatial distribution of follow-up aftershocks, with 95% of them occurred in the region of increased Coulomb failure stress. This result indicates that the former large earthquakes modulated occurrences of follow-up earthquakes in the Tangshan earthquake sequence.This result is of some significance in rapid assessment of aftershock hazard after a large earth- quake.If detailed co-seismic slip distribution on a seismogenic fault and the me- chanical feature of nearby faults can be rapidly determined after a large earth- quake,our approach may be used to predict the locations of large aftershocks.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(40374012,40874022)资助
【CateGory Index】: P315.2
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