Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Seismological Research》 2015-01
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Study on Predicting Epicenter Location and Magnitude of Strong Earthquake in Geologic Block Using Strain Energy

CHEN Li-jun;XU Jun;CHEN Xiao-feng;SHAO Lei;WU Xia;XU Zhao-yong;Earthquake Administration of Hunan Province;Kunming JUNQI Inspection and Testing Engineer Co. ,Ltd;Kunming Southern Geophysical Technology Co. ,Ltd;Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province;  
Various factors such as geological structure,mechanics property of rock-mass,stress-strain state and its evolvement history etc. are boiled dow n to the characteristics of strain energy accumulation,and then the activity of strong earthquakes are studied. Firstly,we discussed the method which is used to judge the epicenter location of strong earthquake by spatial characteristic method of deformation and confirmed its feasibility,and proposed the method of estimating the strain energy in the geologic block. Secondly,on the basis of the block boundary is divided by new tectonic,the bottom is obtained by crustal sounding to determine the block volume,annual strain rate is achieved by deformation measurement,the elastic constant is acquired by crustal velocity structure,the energy accumulation point( starting time) is determined by use of historical earthquakes,we confirmed the total accumulation strain energy of the block,and predicted the magnitude of the future earthquake. Finally,we discussed the good effect of the features of strain energy accumulation on predicting the location and magnitude of strong earthquakes,and the significant role in earthquake safety evaluation by real examples.
【Fund】: 湖南省地震局2012年度地震科研课题项目(201201)资助
【CateGory Index】: P315.3
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 MEI Shi-rong1,XUE Yan2,SONG Zhi-ping3(1.Institute of Earthquake Science,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100036,China;2.China Earthquake Networks Center,Beijing 100045,China;3.Earthquake Administration of Shanghai Municipality,Shanghai 200062,China);Anomalous Seismic Characteristics before Wenchuan M8.0 and Kunlunshan M8.1 Earthquakes and Their Implications[J];Earthquake;2009-01
2 ZHANG Pei-Zhen~1 XU Xi-Wei~1 WEN Xue-Ze~2 RAN Yong-Kang~1 1 State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics,Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China 2 Sichuan Seismological Bureau,Chengdu 610041,China;Slip rates and recurrence intervals of the Longmen Shan active fault zone,and tectonic implications for the mechanism of the May 12 Wenchuan earthquake,2008,Sichuan,China[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2008-04
3 LIU Qi-Yuan~1,LI Yu~1,CHEN Jiu-Hui~1,GUO Biao~1,LI Shun-Cheng~1,WANG Jun~1,ZHANG Xu-Qi~2,QI Shao-Hua~11 Stale Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dyuamics,Institute of Geology , China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029, China2 Kangding Central Seismic Station,Sichuan Earthquake Administration,Kangding 626001,China;Wenchuan M_S 8.0 earthquake; preliminary study of the S-wave velocity structure of the crust and upper mantle[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
4 CHEN Zu-An~(1,3),LIN Bang-Hui~2,BAI Wu-Ming~1,Cheng Xu~1,WANG Yun-Sheng~31 Key Laboratory of the Study of Earth's Deep Interior ,Institute of Geology and Geophysics , Chinese Academy of Sciences ,Beijing 100029,China2 Institute of Geophysics , Chinese Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100081, China3 State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection , Chengdu University of Technology ,Chengdu 610059, China;The mechanism of generation of May 12, 2008 M_S8.0 Wenchuan earthquake[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
5 WEN Xue-Ze~(1,2),ZHANG Pei-Zhen~3,DU Fang~2,LONG Feng~21 Institute of Earthquake Science ,China Earthquake Administration ,Beijing 1000362 Earthquake Administration of Sichuan Province , Chengdu 6100413 State Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics , Institute of Geology of China Earthquake Administration , Beijing 100029;The background of historical and modern seismic activities of the occurrence of the 2008 M_S8. Wenchuan, Sichuan, earthquake[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
6 CHEN Zhang-Li~1,ZHAO Cui-Ping~2,WANG Qin-Cai~2,HUA Wei~2,ZHOU Lian-Qing~2,SHI Hai-Xia~3,CHEN Han-Lin~21 China Earthquake Administration . Beijing 100036, China2 Institute o f Earthquake Science , China Earthquake Administration , Beijing 100036. China3 China Earthquake Networks Center. Beijing 10004b, China;A study on the occurrence background and process of Wenchuan M_S8.0 earthquake[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
7 ZHOU Yong-Sheng, HE Chang-RongState Key Laboratory of Earthquake Dynamics , Institute of Geology ,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China;The rheological structures of crust and mechanics of high-angle reverse fault slip for Wenchuan M_S8.0 earthquake[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
8 JIANG Zai-Sen~1 ,FANG Ying~1,WU Yan-Qiang~1,WANG Min~2,DU Fang~3,PING Jian-Jun~41 Institute of Earthquake Science,CEA,Beijing 1000362 Institute of Geology , CEA, Beijing 1000293 Earthquake Administration of Sichuan Province , Chengdu 6100004 Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021;The dynamic process of regional crustal movement and deformation before Wenchuan M_S 8.0 earthquake[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
9 LI Yan-Xing, ZHANG Jing-Hua, ZHOU Wei, HU Xin-Kang,GUO Liang-Qian, ZHANG Zhong-FuFirst Crust Monitoring and Application Center, CEA, Tianjin 300180, China;The mechanism and dynamics of the generation and occurrence for Wenchuan M_S 8.0 earthquake[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
10 GUO Liang-Q'ian,LI Yan-Xing,HU Xin-Kang,LIU XiaFirst Crust Monitoring and Application Center of China Earthquake Administration , Tia?ijhi 300180, China;Crustal motion of Chinese mainland and preparation of M_S 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake in Sichuan Province[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-02
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 LI Li-li College of Geo-Exploration Science and Technology,Jilin University,Changchun 130026,China;Variation Features of Gravity Anomaly in Wenchuan Area Before and After Earthquake[J];Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition);2011-S1
2 Ma Guo-qing,Meng Ling-shun,Li Li-li College of GeoExploration Science and Technology,Jilin University,Changchun 130026,China;Fault Distribution of Longmenshan and Adjacent Regions and Fault Morphological Differences Before and After the Earthquake[J];Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition);2012-02
3 Lan Jing-yan1,Liu Hong-shuai2,Lü Yue-jun1,Peng Yan-ju1 1.Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100085,China 2.Institute of Engineering Mechanics,China Earthquake Administration,Harbin 150080,China;Effects of Uncertainties of Shear Wave Velocity of Soil Surface Layer on Platform Value of Surface Design Response Spectra[J];Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition);2012-03
4 CAI Xue-lin1,CAO Jia-min2,ZHU Jie-shou2,CHENG Xian-qiong21.College of Earth Sciences,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China;2.College of Information Engineering,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China;A preliminary study on the 3-D crust structure for the Longmen lithosphere and the genesis of the huge Wenchuan earthquake,Sichuan,China[J];Journal of Chengdu University of Technology(Science & Technology Edition);2008-04
5 CAO Jun-xing1,2,LIU Shu-gen1,HE Xiao-yan2,ZHAO Liang2 1.State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China 2.College of Information Engineering,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China;Dynamic coupling mechanism between Longmenshan and Sichuan Basin and its impact on the hydrocarbon migration in West Sichuan based on the analysis of the characteristics of Wenchuan earthquake[J];Journal of Chengdu University of Technology(Science & Technology Edition);2009-06
6 YAN Liang1,LI Yong1,ZHOU Rong-jun2,LIU Yu——ping3,ZHANG Yi1,CHEN Hao1,QIAO Bao-cheng1,MA Bo-lin1 1.State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,Sichuan,China 2.Institute of Earthquake Engineering,Seismological Bureau of Sichuan Province,Chengdu 610041,Sichuan,China 3.Chengdu Institute of Geology and Mineral Resources,Chengdu 610082,Sichuan,China;Estimation of earthquake magnitude and recurrence in terval of lager earthquake in the Yingxiu-Beichuan fault[J];Journal of Chengdu University of Technology(Science & Technology Edition);2011-01
7 HUANG Xiao-ping,ZHU Jie-shou,CAO Jia-min,HUANG Yu-ting,JIANG Ke-zhi,WANG Cheng,JIANG Xiao-tao,YANG Yi-hai State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China;Nonuniform velocity model used in the relocation of Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake and aftershocks[J];Journal of Chengdu University of Technology(Science & Technology Edition);2012-03
8 Liu Shun(Chengdu University of Technology, China) Sun Tianze(Institute of Geophysics,Academia Sinica) Zhong Dalai(Institute of Geology, Academia Sinica);EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF MECHANISM FOR SEMI BRITTLE DUCTILE SHEAR ZONES IN MAFIC GRANULITE[J];JOURNAL OF CHENGDU UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY;1997-03
9 WANG Hao,LIANG Bing,LI Guo-zhen,WANG Yong-yan(Department of Applied Physics College of Science,Liao Ning Technical University,FuXin LiaoNing,123000);The Interaction between Sensor and Wall Rock in the Measurements of Strata Stress in Theological Rock[J];Journal of Hunan University of Arts and Science(Natural Science Edition);2006-04
10 LI Zhi-cai,ZHANG Peng,JIANG Zhi-hao,WU Jun-li(Geodesy Department,National Geomatics Center of China,Beijing 100044,China);Research on Chinese continent co-seismic deformation effect due to Wenchuan Ms 8.0 earthquake based on single epoch method[J];Science of Surveying and Mapping;2009-05
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Zuan Chen~(a,c,*),Banghui Lin~b,Wuming Bai~a,Xu Cheng~a,Yunsheng Wang~c a Key Laboratory of the Study of Earth's Deep Interior,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China b Institute of Geophysics,Chinese Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100081,China c State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu,610059,China;A study on the influence of the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake on the stability of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau tectonic block system[A];[C];2012
2 CHEN Zu-An~(1,3),LIN Bang-Hui~2,BAI Wu-Ming~1,CHENG Xu~1,WANG Yun-Sheng~3 1 Key Laboratory of the Study of Earth's Deep Interior,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,The Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,China 2 Institute of Geophysics,Chinese Seismological Bureau,Beijing 100081,China 3 State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection,Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059,China;A study on the rupture process of the 2001 Ms8.1 Kunlunshan earthquake and its influence on pregnant process and occurrence of the Ms8.0 Wenchuan earthquake in 2008[A];[C];2012
3 F.C.Dai~(a,*),X.B.Tu~a,C.Xu~a,Q.M.Gong~b,X.Yao~c a Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,P.O.Box 9825,Beijing 100029,PR China b College of Architecture and Civil Engineering,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,PR China c Institute of Geomechanics,Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences,Beijing 100081,PR China;Rock avalanches triggered by oblique-thrusting during the 12 May 2008 Ms 8.0Wenchuan earthquake,China[A];[C];2012
4 Bihong Fu~(a,*),Pilong Shi~a,Huadong Guo~b,Satoshi Okuyama~c,Yoshiki Ninomiya~c,Sarah Wright~d a State Key Laboratory of Lithospheric Evolution,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China b Center for Earth Observation and Digital Earth,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100080,China c Geological Survey of Japan,AIST,Tsukuba 305-8567,Japan d School of Earth Sciences,University of Melbourne,Victoria 3010,Australia;Surface deformation related to the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake,and mountain building of the Longmen Shan,eastern Tibetan Plateau[A];[C];2012
5 WU Jmg~1,WANG Hui~(2*),CAO Jian-Ling~2,GAO Yuan~2,WANG Qiong~2 1 Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China 2 Institute of Earthquake Science,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100036,China;Influence of crustal inhomogeneity on seismicity in North China[A];[C];2012
6 ZHOU Jian~(1,2),ZHANG Luqing~1,HURuilin~1,WANG Xueliang~(1,2) (1.Key Laboratory of Engineering Geomechanics,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China;2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China);STUDY OF RULES OF STRESS WAVES PROPAGATION UNDER VARIOUS ATTITUDES OF LARGE-SCALE FRACTURES[A];[C];2012
7 LI ZhiWei~(1*),Xu Yi~1,Huang RunQiu~2,Hao TianYao~1,Xu Ya~1,Liu JingSong~1 & Liu JianHua~1 Key Laboratory of Petroleum Resources Research,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,China; State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu 610059,China;Crustal P-wave velocity structure of the Longmenshan region and its tectonic implications for the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake[A];[C];2012
8 YUAN ShiSong~(1,2),GE LiangSheng~1,LU YanMing~1,GUO XiaoDong~(1,2),WANG MeiJuan~1, (1 Gold Geological Institute of CAPF;Hebei,Langfang 065000,China;2 School of Earth Science and Resources,China University of Geosciences,Beijing 100083,China);The Relationship between Mantle-derived Fluid and Gold Ore-formation in the Ailaoshan metallogenic belt:Evidences from C-D-O-S-Pb Isotopes[A];[C];2010
9 BAI Zhi-Ming~1 WANG Chun-Yong~2 1 Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029,China 2 Institute of Geophysics,China Seismology Bureau,Beijing 100081,China;TOMOGRAPHY RESEARCH OF THE ZHEFANG—BINCHUAN AND MENGLIAN—MALONG WIDE—ANGLE SEISMIC PROFILES IN YUNNAN PROVINCE[A];[C];2004
10 CHEN Zu-An~(1,3),LIN Bang-Hui~2,BAI Wu-Ming~1 1 Key Laboratory of the Study of Earth's Deep Interior,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,China 2 Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administratior,Beijing 100081,China 3 State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection,Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059,China;3-D numerical simulation on influence of 1997 Mani earthquake occurrence to stability of tectonic blocks system in Qingzang and Chuandian zone using DDA+FEM method[A];[C];2009
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHU Jie-shouDepartment of Geophysics,Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059,China;The Wenchuan earthquake occurrence background in deep structure and dynamics of lithosphere[J];Journal of Chengdu University of Technology(Science & Technology Edition);2008-04
2 Deng Jianghong;CHARACTERISTICS OF GRANITE UNITS IN YINGXIU REGION, LONGMEN MOUNTAINS[J];JOURNAL OF CHENGDU UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY;1994-03
3 ZHANG Pei,ZHOU Zuyi,XU Changhai and ZHANG Qinglin(State Key Laboratory of Marine Geology,Tongji University,Shanghai 200092,China);GEOCHEMISTRY OF PENGGUAN COMPLEX IN THE LONGMENSHAN REGION,WESTERN SICHUAN PROVINCE,SW CHINA:PETROGENESIS AND TECTONIC IMPLICATIONS[J];Geotectonica Et Metallogenia;2008-01
4 Liu Zhengrong(Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province);A CODE OF PRACTICE FOR EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION USING FREQUENCY ATTENUATION OF EARTHQUAKES[J];Earthquake;1984-01
5 Li Zhixiong (State Seismological Bureau) Gao Xu (Center for Analysis and Prediction,SSB);STUDY ON THE INHOMOGENOUS DEGREE OF SEISMICITY AND ITS APPLICATION TO MIDDLE-TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];Earthquake;1994-06
6 CHE Zhao hong, ZHANG Yan mei (Center for Comprehensive Surveying, CSB, Beijing 100039, China);The recent fault activity along the middle and southern segments of South-North Seismic Belt[J];Earthquake;2001-03
7 SONG Zhiping1, XUE Yan2, MEI Shirong2, SONG Xianyue1(1. Seismological Bureau of Shanghai Municipality, Shanghai 200062, China; 2. Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China);Seismic characteristics before the M8.1 earthquake in the West to the pass of the Kunlun Mountain[J];Earthquake;2003-01
8 WANG Jun-guo~1,WANG Lin-ying~2,WU Xiao-zhi~1, CHEN Pei-yan~2,BAI Tong-xia~2, HE Qiao-yun~1 (1.Earthquake Administration of Tianjin Municipality, Tianjin 300201; 2.Institute of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing 100081, China);Signal shock prior to strong earthquakes in North China area and its significance in prediction[J];Earthquake;2004-03
9 FU Zheng-xiang~1,JIN Xue-shen~2,SHAO Hui-cheng~(3,4),DING Xiang~1(1.Institute of Earthquake Science,CEA,Beijing 100036;2.Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021;3.Earthquake Administration of Shaanxi Province,Xi′an 710068;4.Engineering Mechanics Department,Northwest Industrial University,Xi′an 710072,China);Migration of the grouping strong earthquakes in China′s continent and its mechanism analysis[J];Earthquake;2005-04
10 HUA Wei1,2,CHEN Zhang-li1,Li Zhi-xiong1,ZHAO Cui-ping1,WANG Qin-cai1(1.Institute of Earthquake Science,CEA,Beijing 100036,China;2.Earthquake Administration of Guangdong Province,Guangzhou 510070,China);Seismic Triggering and the Aftershock Distribution of the Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake[J];Earthquake;2009-01
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved