Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Engineering Sciences》 2009-06
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Orderly network structure of M≥7 strong earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake

Men Kepei(Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044,China)  
Since 1700,M≥7strong earthquakes have had an obvious commensurability and orderliness in the north block of Tibet Plateau. The main orderly values are 53~54 a,26~27 a,11~12 a and 3~4 a. According to the information prediction theory of Weng Wenbo and self-organization network technology,we try to explore the practical method for strong earthquake prediction with Chinese characteristics,and conceive strong earthquake with magnitude 7 informational network structure. Based on this,the 2008 Wenchuan M 8.0 great earthquake was predicted and M≥7 strong earthquakes will happen around 2012,2016 and 2027 in this area. Meanwhile,the cause of formation about Wenchuan Earthquake has been discussed primarily. The results show that strong earthquake and strong earthquake chain can be predicted. This method has a unique effect on mid-and-long term prediction for strong earthquake.
【CateGory Index】: P315
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 MEN Ke-PeiCollege of Mathematics & Physics , Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology . Nanjing 210044.China;Research on earthquake chains and its orderly network structure in Jiangsu-South Yellow Sea region[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2009-10
2 Xu Daoyi~1,Men Kepei~2,Deng Zhihui~1 (1.Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China; 2.College of Mathematics & Physics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044,China);Self-organized ordering of earthquakes(M≥8) in Mainland China[J];中国工程科学(英文版);2010-04
3 MEN Kepei1 1 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Ordered network structure of M≥7 strong earthquakes and its prediction in Xinjiang[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2012-03
4 MEN Kepei1 1 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Ordered network structure of M≥7 strong earthquakes and its prediction in northern Tibetan Plateau region[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2012-04
5 MEN Kepei 1 1 School of Mathematics & Statisticss,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Research on ordered network structure of M≥8 great earthquakes and its prediction in Mainland China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2012-05
6 LI Xiubin1 MENKepei2 LI Xianghui1 ZHUANG Xiaodong1 LIU Xueyuan1 QIN Xiurong1 1 Baishan Power Factory,Xinyuan(Holdings) Company Limited,State Grid,Huadian 132400 2 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Research on ordered commensurable network structure and its prediction for the Huaihe floods[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2013-02
7 MEN Kepei1 CUI Lei1 1 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Evaluation models and empirical analysis of earthquake disaster losses in China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2013-04
8 MEN Kepei;School Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Ordered network structure and its prediction for the big floods in the Changjiang River Basin[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2014-02
9 MEN Kepei;School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Ordered network structure of M≥6 strong earthquakes and its prediction in Jiangsu-South Yellow Sea region[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2014-03
10 MEN Kepei;School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Ordered network structure and its prediction for the ordered pair of M≥8 great earthquakes in west China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2015-02
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 7 Hits
1 MEN Ke pei (Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing 210044,China);Study on Kunlunshan M8.1 earthquake in 2001 and the trend of strong eqrthquakes[J];Earthquake;2002-03
2 MEN Ke-pei(Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044, China);Ordered network feature of M≥7 earthquakes and its prediction in northern part of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau[J];Progress In Geophysics;2003-04
3 HU Xiao-Gang,HAO Xiao-Guang Key Laboratory of Dynamical Geodesy,Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Wuhan 430077,China;The short-term anomalies detected by broadband seismographs before the May 12 Wenchuan earthquake,Sichuan,China[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2008-06
4 XU Dao\|yi (Institute of Geology, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100029, China);THE NETWORK FEATURES OF LARGE EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE AND SOME WORDS ON THE DEBATE OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];Earth Science Frontiers;2001-02
5 Men Kepei (Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing,210044);Review of the Medium and Long-term Predictions on Maduo M_S 6.6 Strong Earthquake in 2000 in Qinghai Province[J];Recent Developments In World Seismology;2001-09
6 Xu Shaoxie (Institute of Geophysics, CSB, Beijing, 100081, China);Exploration of Earthquake Prediction[J];Recent Developments In World Seismology;2003-02
7 Men Kepei;Xia Jianping; Zhao Bing (Seismological Office of Nanjing City,Nanjing)(Nanjing Geological Sehool, Nanjing);RESEARCH ON TEMPORAL ORDERLINESS OF STRONG EARTHQUANES(M≥7)AND ITS PREDICTIONIN NORTH BLOCK OF QINGHAI─TIBET PLEATEAU[J];INLAND EARTHQUAKE;1994-01
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 LI Quan-hai1,FANG Zhao-xin1,ZHANG Zhong-jiu1,SHENG Zhong-lie2,SUN Qing-an1,ZHENG Shi-zhu1,XIONG Hua-long1,TANG Kai-jian1(1.No.325 Geological Team of Anhui Bureau of Geology and Mineral Exploration,Huaibei,Anhui 237050,China;2.Anhui Department of Land and Resources,Hefei,Anhui 230088,China);METALLOGENIC MODEL STUDY OF IRON (COPPER) POLYMETALLIC SKARN ORE DEPOSITS IN HUAIBEI[J];Geology of Anhui;2009-01
2 FANG Zhao-xing, SUN Qin-an,ZHU Hen (No.325 Geological Part of Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources Exploration of Anhui Province , Huaibei 235037 China );SR/BA RATIO ZONING OF MAGNESIUM SKARN DEPOSITS THE SANPU AREAS,HUAIBEI,ANHUI[J];Geology of Anhui;2009-02
3 Liu Xuegang et al (Meteorological Bureau of Fuyang City, Fuyang 236001);The Methods of Drought and Rain Forecasting in Rainy Season of Fuyang City[J];JOURNAL OF ANHUI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES;2000-02
4 FuYi(Department of Geography);The Shaping and Development of Geomechanics[J];Journal of Anhui Normal University(Natural Science);1994-02
5 XU Dao - yi (Geological Institute of the Seismic Bureau of China, Beijing 100027, China);The Book of Changes · Sciences · the 21st Century ——Examples and Cognition[J];Journal of Anyang University;2005-01
6 Luo Lirui1,Liu Zhigang2,Chen Wentao3,Geng Yansheng4 (1.Central Research Institute of Building and Construction Co.,Ltd.,MCC Group,Beijing 100088,China;2.Shijiazhuang Railway Institute,Shijiazhuang 050043,China;3.MCC Huaye Resources Development Company,Beijing 100176,China;4.MCC Communication Engineering Technology Co.,Ltd,Beijing 100176,China);Application of Infrared Acquisition Technology in Geological Prediction of Sub-sea Tunnel[J];Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering;2010-04
7 Zhang Yong, Cai shi quan (First Hydro-geological and Engineer - geological Team of Goelogicael Breau, Qinghai Province );DISCUSSION ON THE TIME OF FORMATION OF PERMAFROST ON QINGZANG PLATEAU[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;1981-01
8 XIAO Fangfeng,HOU Guiting,WANG Yanxin,LI Le The Key laboratory of Orogenic Belts and Crustal Evolution,Ministry of Education,School of Earth and Space Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871;Study on Structural Stress Fields since Permian,Junggar Basin and Adjacent Areas[J];Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis;2009-03
9 XIAO Fangfeng,HOU Guiting,WANG Yanxin,LI LeThe Key laboratory of Orogenic Belts and Crustal Evolution,Ministry of Education,School of Earth and Space Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871;;Study on Structural Stress Fields since Permian,Junggar Basin and Adjacent Areas[J];Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis;2010-02
10 LI Jun-zhi, SU Cheng, XIA Ya-qin (Research Institute of Earthquake Prediction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China);Application of Commensurability Information System in the Earthquake Prediction[J];Journal of Beijing University of Technology;2007-01
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Men Kepei(Fuel company of Nanjing City);RESEARCH ON GREY PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN WUQIA-PAMIR AREA[J];Earthquake;1992-05
2 MEN Ke pei (Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing 210044,China);Study on Kunlunshan M8.1 earthquake in 2001 and the trend of strong eqrthquakes[J];Earthquake;2002-03
3 WANG Desheng(Department of Philosophy,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China);Symmetry and method of symmetry[J];Journal of Southeast University Philosophy and Social Science Edition;2003-03
4 MEN Ke-pei (Department of mathematics, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044, China);Theory of Informational Forecast and M_ s≥7 Strong Earthquake Trend in Xinjiang Area[J];Progress In Geophysics;2002-03
5 MEN Ke-pei(Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044, China);Ordered network feature of M≥7 earthquakes and its prediction in northern part of Qinghai-Xizang Plateau[J];Progress In Geophysics;2003-04
6 MEN Ke-pei (Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044,China);On the characteristics of the ordered network structure for severe floods and droughts over China with the applications to prediction[J];Progress In Geophysics;2005-03
7 MEN Ke-pei(Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China);Ordered network structure of strong earthquakes and division of seismic period in jiangsu-the south yellow sea region[J];Progress in Geophysics;2006-03
8 CHU Quan-zhi,DENG Zhi-hui,YANG Zhu-zhuan(Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China);Seismo-tectonic features and their effects of the earthquake prediction in China-Mainland[J];Progress in Geophysics;2007-02
9 MEN Ke-pei(College of Mathematics & Physics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044,China);Time-space order of severe earthquake disaster chain and its prediction[J];Progress in Geophysics;2007-02
10 XU Dao-yi1,WANG Ming-tai2,GENG Qing-guo3,WANG Wei-lin4 (1.Institute of Geology,China Earthquake administration,Beijing 100029,China;2.Weng Wen-Bo's Fund for Science Development,Beijing 100011,China;3.Centre for China Seismological Station Network,Beijing 100045,China;4.Special Committee for Predicting Natural Disasters,Chinese Geophysical Society,Beijing 100081,China);The creativity of informative forecasting theory and it's significance[J];Progress in Geophysics;2007-04
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 XU Dao-yi1,SUN Wen-peng2(1.Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China; 2.CNNC Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology,Beijing 100029,China);APPLICATION OF THE ETA-TYPE TECTONIC SERIES SUGGESTED BY LI SI-GUANG TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];Journal of Geomechanics;2011-01
2 MEN Kepei1 1 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Ordered network structure of M≥7 strong earthquakes and its prediction in northern Tibetan Plateau region[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2012-04
3 MEN Kepei 1 1 School of Mathematics & Statisticss,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Research on ordered network structure of M≥8 great earthquakes and its prediction in Mainland China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2012-05
4 LI Xiubin1 MENKepei2 LI Xianghui1 ZHUANG Xiaodong1 LIU Xueyuan1 QIN Xiurong1 1 Baishan Power Factory,Xinyuan(Holdings) Company Limited,State Grid,Huadian 132400 2 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Research on ordered commensurable network structure and its prediction for the Huaihe floods[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2013-02
5 MEN Kepei1 CUI Lei1 1 School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044;Evaluation models and empirical analysis of earthquake disaster losses in China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2013-04
6 SHI Yue;CAO Guang-chao;College of Life and Geography,Qinghai Normal University;;The Tendency Judgment of Future Ms≥6. 0 Earthquake in Qinghai:a Commensurability-based Research[J];Science Technology and Engineering;2013-35
7 MEN Kepei;School Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Ordered network structure and its prediction for the big floods in the Changjiang River Basin[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2014-02
8 MEN Kepei;School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Ordered network structure of M≥6 strong earthquakes and its prediction in Jiangsu-South Yellow Sea region[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2014-03
9 MEN Kepei;School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Ordered network structure and its prediction for the ordered pair of M≥8 great earthquakes in west China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2015-02
10 MEN Kepei;School of Mathematics & Statistics,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;;Nepal M 8. 1 earthquake and the prediction for M≥8 earthquakes in west China[J];Journal of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology(Natural Science Edition);2015-03
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Men Kepei(Fuel company of Nanjing City);RESEARCH ON GREY PREDICTION OF STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN WUQIA-PAMIR AREA[J];Earthquake;1992-05
2 Zhang Guomin Li Xianzhi Geng Luming(Center for Analysis and Prediction,SSB);SEISMIC ACTIVITY ALONG THE NORTHERN BOUNDARY OF INDIAN PLATE AND EARTHQUAKES IN CHINA'S CONTINENT[J];Earthquake;1994-03
3 Zhao Genmo(Seismological Bureau of Tianjin);EXAMINATION OF THE INDUCED FORESHOCK METHOD——THE SEISMICITY PATTERN IN CHINA'S CONTINENT DURING 1981-1992[J];Earthquake;1995-02
4 ZHAO Zhen-cai; CHEN Bing (The Second Crustal Deformation Monitoring Center, CSB, Xi'an 710054, China);Study on feature of grouping seismicity in western China[J];EARTHQUAKE;2000-01
5 LU Pei ling, LIU Jie, CHENG Xue zhong, YANG Mao yuan, SONG Rui, HUA Xiang wen (Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China);The seismicity of strong earthquakes in Taiwan and its eastern sea and the application of prediction to China′s Continent[J];EARTHQUAKE;2000-04
6 ZHAO Gen mo, YANG Gang sheng, CHEN Hua ran (Tianjin Seismological Bureau, Tianjin 300201, China);Quiescent foreshock and earthquake prediction[J];Earthquake;2001-01
7 MEN Ke pei (Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing 210044,China);Study on Kunlunshan M8.1 earthquake in 2001 and the trend of strong eqrthquakes[J];Earthquake;2002-03
8 Hao Xiaoguang 1) ,Xu Houze 1) ,Hao Xinghua 1) ,Lu Chuncao 1) and Hu Hongqiao 2) 1.Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics, CAS,Wuhan 430077 2. Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai 200129;GRAVITY HIGH FREQUENCY DISTURBANCE AND OCCURRENCE OF EARTHQUAKE[J];Crustal Deformation and Earthquake;2001-03
9 Hao Xiaoguang,Hu Xiaogang,Xu Houze,Zhong Min,Fang JianHao Xinghua,Liu Min,Liu Genyou and Xue Huaiping(Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Wuhan 430077);GRAVITY DISTURBANCE BEFORE WENCHUAN Ms8.0 EARTHQUAKE[J];Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics;2008-03
10 Fang Jian; Xu hou--ze(Intitute of Geodesy and Geophysics, Chinese Academy Wuhan 430077 );THREE DIMENSIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF LIOTHSPERIC DEN8rrY BENEATH THE CHINA AND ITS ADJACENT REGION[J];PROGRESS IN GEOPHYSICS;1999-02
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved