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《Guangdong Meteorology》 2008-03
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Application of SVM method in Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Forecast

SHENG Wen-bin,ZHANG Rui-ping,LU Chen-li(1.Department of Atmospheric Science,Nanjin University,Nanjing 210093,China;2.Jiaxing Meteorological Office,Jiaxing 314050,China;3.Haining Meteorological Office,Haining 314400,China)  
Using tropical cyclone data(position,pressure and wind) issued by NMC Beijing,the factors such as the distance between the Jiaxing and the tropical cyclone were calculated.Based on any three factors,the distribution functions of the tropical cyclone rainfall were constructed to establish and operationally run the SVM regression models for tropical cyclone rainfall forecast in Jiaxing.Compared to the multivariate regression model,it shows better correlations between the distribution function and the tropical cyclone rainfall and better forecast skills in Jiaxing.
【CateGory Index】: P444
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