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《China Industrial Economics》 2010-12
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An Analysis of the Increase of CO_2 Emission in China——Based on SDA Technique

GUO Chao-xian(Institute of Industrial Economics CASS,Beijing 100836,China)  
This paper design an extension model of import-competition economy-energy-environment input-output system,using two-level nested method of Structural Decomposition Analysis to decompose 1992—2007 CO2 emission in China.The conclusions are as follows: The dominant factor to reduce CO2 emission is the effect of the change of energy consumption intensity;The main factors to increase CO2 emission are the effect of final demand expansion and the effect of the change of input-output coefficient;Whereas,the effect of the change of import substitution and the effect of the change of energy consumption structure are indistinctive.In the effect of final demand expansion,export-expansion and investment-expansion become more and more important,while consumption-expansion is less important one.The amount of CO2 emission increased rapidly in 2002—2007 reveals the characteristics of industrialization with high-carbon in the new stage.The effect of the change of input-output coefficient became greater and greater especially in the energy industry reveals that the tradition extensive-industrialization road still continue and maybe become worsen.
【Fund】: 国家科技支撑计划课题“跨区域经济发展动态仿真模拟技术开发”(批准号2006BAC18B03);; 国家社会科学基金重大项目“产业竞争优势转型战略与全球分工模式的演变”(批准号09&ZD035)
【CateGory Index】: X321
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【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 Zhang Youguo(Institute of Quantitative Economics and Technical Economics,Center for Environment and Development,CASS);Economic Development Pattern Change Impact on China's Carbon Intensity[J];Economic Research Journal;2010-04
2 XIA Yan,YANG Cui-hong,CHEN Xi-kang (Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China);Analysis on determining factors of energy intensity in China based on comparable price input-output table[J];Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice;2009-10
3 LI Yan-mei~1,ZHANG Lei~2(1.Institute of Recycling Economy,Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022,China; 2.Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS, Beijing 100101,China);Structural Decomposition Analysis of China's Indirect Household Energy Consumption[J];Resources Science;2008-06
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 GAO Honggui(Economics College of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,430074);Study of the Driving Effect of Tax and Financial Expenditure on Structure of Low-carbon Economy[J];Finance & Trade Economics;2010-12
2 CHEN Shiyi,YAN Fashan & WU Ruochen (Fudan University,200433);Capital Deepening,Productivity Promotion and CO_2 Emission in China[J];Finance & Trade Economics;2010-12
3 WANG Feng,FENG Gen-fu(School of Economics and Finance,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710061,China);Contribution of Improving Energy Mix to Carbon Intensity Target in China:Potential Assessment[J];China Industrial Economics;2011-04
4 XIAO Shu-xin(Physical Education Department,Guizhou University,Guiyang,Guizhou,550025,China);A Probe into the Input-Output Model and Development Trends of the Nationwide Competitive Sports with an Economic View[J];Journal of Guizhou University(Social Sciences);2010-05
5 SUN Jing-shui(School of Economy,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang,310018,China);Empirical Research on Driving Factors of Carbon Emission Strength in China[J];Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics;2011-03
6 Zhang Zhiqiang,Zeng Jingjing,Qu Jiansheng(Scientific Information Center for Resources and Environment /Lanzhou Branch of National Science Library,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,China);An Analysis of the Trends of Carbon Emission Intensity and Its Relationship with Economic Development for Major Countries[J];Advances in Earth Science;2011-08
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8 ZHANG Yan1,2,QIN Yao-chen1(1.College of Environment and Planning/Key Research Institute of Yellow River Civilization and Sustainable Development, Henan University,Kaifeng 475001,Henan,China;2.College of Environment Science and Tourism,Nanyang Normal University,Nanyang 473061,Henan,China);REVIEW ON RESEARCH OF IMPACT FACTORS OF CARBON EMISSIONS DUE TO DIRECT HOUSEHOLD ENERGY CONSUMPTION[J];Economic Geography;2011-02
9 SHIYI CHEN(Fudan University);Reconstruction of Sub-industrial Statistical Data in China(1980—2008)[J];China Economic Quarterly;2011-03
10 RUIXIANG LIU(Nanjing University)CAILOU JIANG(Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology);Understanding the Accelerating Growth of Energy Consumption in China from the Input-output Perspective[J];China Economic Quarterly;2011-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 ZHANG Mimi, CHEN Tianxiang (1. School of Management , Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China; 2. Department of Statistics, School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China);The Calculation and Efffects Analysis of Total CO_2 Emissions from Households in China[A];[C];2010
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 LI Jing-hua (School of Business, China University of Political Science and Law, Beijing 102249,China);A Weighted Average Decomposition Method of SDA Model and Its Application in Chinese Tertiary Industry Development[J];Systems Engineering;2004-09
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4 Zhang Yaxiong and Zhao Kun(Department of Economic Forecasting, State Information Center);The Impact of Beijing Olympic-Related Investments on Regional Economic Growth of China:Interregional Input-Output Approach[J];Economic Research Journal;2008-03
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6 DING Le-qun1,ZHAI Hui-jing1,HE Qing1,HUANG Ping-li2(1.Economics and Management Institute,Northeast Electric Power University,Jilin 132012,China;2.Energy and Mechanical Engineering Institute,Northeast Electric Power University,Jilin 132012,China);Decomposition model of energy consumption per GDP and its analysis[J];Energy Research and Information;2007-03
7 ;Impact of Trade on China's Energy Consumptionand SO_2 Emission:1987~2006[J];The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics;2009-01
8 LIANG Jin-she1,ZHENG Wei1,CAI Jian-ming2(1.School of Geography,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;2.Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China);The Decomposition of Energy Consumption Growth in China:Based on Input-output Model[J];Journal of Natural Resources;2007-06
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