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《Arid Zone Research》 2006-01
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Analysis on Hurst Indexes of Climatic Factors in Guyang County,Inner Mongolia since Recent 50 years

HAO Hui-mei, REN Zhi-yuan(College of Tourism and Environmental Sciences,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi'an 710062,China)  
Guyang County is located in a farming-pasturing ecotone along the Great Wall in northern piedmont of the Yinshan Mountain,Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China.Climate change in the Northern Hemisphere is significant since recent century,as an ecological sensitive zone in the Northern Hemisphere,the farming-pasturing ecotone is not only sensitive to large-scale climate change,but also to local climate change.In this paper,the Hurst indexes of the climatic factors in the county are calculated based on the data of average temperature,air pressure,precipitation,relative humidity and the longest durations without occurring precipitation in the county by using R/S analysis,and the characteristics of climate change in the county are researched.The conclusions are as follows:(1) There are the Hurst indexes in the main climatic factors in Guyang County;(2) The trend values and Hurst indexes are different from different climatic factors since recent 50 years;(3) Temperature increase in the county has been significant since recent 50 years,especially in winter and spring,and urban effect is the main regional factor affecting temperature increase;(4) The average air pressure is in an increase trend under the most temporal windows since recent 50 years,and such trend will continue;(5) There is a relevance between the change trends of average precipitation,the longest duration without occurring precipitation and relative humidity in Guyang County since recent 50 years.The average annual precipitation and relative humidity are in a decrease trend,but the longest duration without occurring precipitation is in a prolonging trend.Seasonal precipitation is decreased in summer and autumn but increased in winter and spring,especially in spring.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(40371003)
【CateGory Index】: P468.2
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