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《Journal of International Trade》 2010-06
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External Shocks and Zhejiang’s Export:Empirical Analysis Based on Subdivision Trade Mode and Commodity Category

GUO Jing HONG Shi-qian  
Based on subdivision trade mode and commodity category,this paper uses the data from January 2004 to August 2008 to empirically study the different impact of foreign demand,the prices of competitors,and exchange rate factors on the export trade of Zhejiang province.The research findings are as follows.Foreign demand are the main factors affecting Zhejiang’s export;The relationship between exchange rate shock and Zhejiang’s export trade is negative and the elasticity coefficient is commonly between-1 and-2;The prices of competitors has a very small influence on Zhejiang’s export and the influencing direction is different for different commodity category;Mechanical and electrical products and high-tech products are strongly influenced by foreign demand;Processing trade and general trade are similarly infected by external shocks.At last,some advices are presented according to the results of our analysis.
【Fund】: 国家社科基金(项目编号:09CGJ013);; 浙江省社科规划办项目(项目编号:08ZXSJD32YB);浙江省社科联项目(项目编号:05N07)的阶段性研究成果
【CateGory Index】: F752.62;F224
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