Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development》 2005-12
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Traffic Flow Prediction Using Support Vector Machine Based Method

XU Qi-hua,YANG Rui(Electronic Engineering Dept.,Huaihai Institute of Technology,Jiangsu Lianyungang 222005,China)  
The accurate prediction of real-time traffic flow is essential in intelligent transportation system(ITS).The prediction results will have direct effect on traffic control and traffic guidance.A traffic flow prediction model using support vector machines(SVMs) based method is proposed.With the sequential minimal optimization(SMO) algorithm,the proposed model can predict traffic flow efficiently.The simulation results show that the SVMs can avoid over-fitting and have better generalization ability compared with BP or recurrent neural networks.The average prediction error is 3.13% if there is no noise in the inputs.When the measurement inputs are disturbed by noise accounting for 10% of the input,the designed SVMs can keep robust and have an average prediction error up to(4.25%.)
【Fund】: 江苏省教育厅自然科学基金资助项目(01KJD510013)
【CateGory Index】: U491.14
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 7 Hits
1 WENG Jian-cheng,RONG Jian,REN Fu-tian,WEI Zhong-hua (Key Laboratory of Transportation Engineering(Beijing University of Technology),Beijing 100022,China);Non-parametric Regression Model Based Short-term Prediction for Expressway Travel Speed[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2007-03
2 YAO Zhi-sheng,SHAO Chun-fu,XIONG Zhi-hua(School of Traffic & Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China);Research on Use of Support Vector Machine for Forecasting Link Travel Time[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2007-09
3 LI Xiaolong,WANG Fuming,CAI Yingchun (Department of Transportation Engineering,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou Henan 450002,China);Predicting Deformations of Tunnel Surrounding Rock by Using Least Squares Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2009-07
4 JIANG Gang1,2,XIAO Jian2 (1.School of Manufacturing Science and Engineering,Southwest University of Science and Technology,Mianyang 621010;2.School of Electric Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031);Real-time Forecast of Urban Traffic Flow Based on Kernel Machine Method[J];Computer Engineering;2006-17
5 HU Dan1,2,XIAO Jian1,CHE Chang2(1.School of Electric Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China;2.School of Mechanical Engineering & Automation,Xihua University,Chengdu 610039,China);Lifting wavelet support vector machine for traffic flow prediction[J];Application Research of Computers;2007-08
6 WENG Huiying LI Junhui(South China University of Technology,Guangzhou 510640,China);Traffic Flow Prediction Algorithm Based On Improved Support Vector Machine[J];Computer and Communications;2008-02
7 YU Jun-mei1,2,YANG Yi3(1.Naval Aeronautical Engineering Institute, Yantai 264000, China; 2. Software Engineering Department of Yantai Vocational College, Yantai 264670, China; 3. Yantai Administration for Industry and Commerce, Yantai 264000, China);Real-time Passenger Volume Forecasting in Bus Stops Based on SVR[J];Journal of Yantai Vocational College;2008-01
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Yang Zhen, Wang Hui (Research Center of Intelligent Transportation System, Institute of System Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027, China);Short-term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on Non-Parametric Regression with Branch Flow[A];[C];2007
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 XU Qi-hua,DING Zhao-kui (Electronic Engineering Dept.,Huaihai Institute of Technology,JiangsuLianyungang222005,China);Real-time Traffic Flow Prediction Model Using Recurrent Neural Network[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2004-10
2 Yang Zhaosheng (Jilin University of Technology,Changchun);A Study on the Model for Realtime Dynamic Traffic Flow Forecasting[J];JOURNAL OF HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORTATION RESEACH ANDK DEVELOPMENT;1998-03
3 XU Qi-hua, DING Zhao-kui, BI Xun-yin (Dept. of Electronic Engineering, Huaihai Institute of Technology, Lianyungang 222005, China);Traffic Flow Real-time Prediction Using a Dynamic Recurrent Neural Network Model[J];Journal of Huaihai Institute of Technology;2003-04
4 XU Qi-hua~1,SHI Jun~2(1.Electronic Engineering Department, Huaihai Institute of Technology,Lianyungang222005;2.Automatic Control Department,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an710072,China);Aero-Engine Fault Diagnosis Based on Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Aerospace Power;2005-02
5 LI Cun-jun, YANG Ru-gui, ZHANG Jia-shu(School of Computer and Communication Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu Sichuan 610031, China);Traffic Prediction Based on Wavelet Analysis[J];Computer Applications;2003-12
6 HE Guo\|guang, LI Yu, MA Shou\|feng (School of Management, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072);Discussion on Short\|Term Traffic Flow Forecasting Methods Based on Mathematical Models[J];Systems Engineering-theory & Practice;2000-12
7 Chu Lianyu; Yang Zhaosheng (College of Transportation, Jinn University of Technology, Changchun, 130025);Real-Time Traffic Volume Prediction Based on Fuzzy Neural Network[J];CHINA JOURNAL OF HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORT;1998-S1
8 Zhu Zhong\ Yang Zhaosheng[College of Communications, Jilin University of Technology, Changchun, 130025];A Real Time Traffic Flow Prediction Model Based on Artificial Neural Network[J];CHINA JOURNAL OF HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORT;1998-04
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 YANG Hao,ZHONG Yan,QIAN Da lin (College of Traffic and Transport, Northern Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044,China);Forecasting Model About Travel Time of Cars in Traffic Section of Road[J];Journal of Northern Jiaotong University;2001-02
2 LI Shao heng,LIANG Qing huai (College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Northern Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044,China);Research on Forecasting Support System in MIS Field[J];Journal of Northern Jiaotong University;2002-04
3 YAO Zhi-sheng,SHAO Chun-fu,GAO Yong-liang(School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China);Research on Methods of Short-Term Traffic Forecasting Based on Support Vector Regression[J];Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University;2006-03
4 WU Hao-yong~1,CONG Yu-liang~1,WANG Hong-zhi~2 (1.College of Communication Engineering,Jilin University,Changchun 130025,China;2.College of Computer,Changchun University of Technology,Changchun 130012,China);Algorithm of Traffic Parameters Prediction Based on Neural Network[J];Journal of Changchun Post and Telecommunication Institute;2005-06
5 ZHANG Wen-sheng1,2 , YIN Qian1, ZANG Zhi-gang1, WU Li-xin1 (1.RS/GPS/GIS & Subsidence Institute of China Uni. of Mining & Tech, Beijing 100083,China;2.Shijiazhuang Institute of Surveying and Design , Shijiazhuang 050011,China);Design and Development of Intelligent Parking System for City Downtown[J];Geomatics World;2006-01
6 REN Qi-liang (School of Traffic & Transportation,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China);Research on Wavelet-Chaotic-Based Forecasting of Short-Term Traffic Flow[J];Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong University(Natural Science);2008-04
7 Zhou Xinrong1,Cui Yang2(1.Tianjin Re-search Institute of Urban planning and design,Tianjin 300201;2.Intelligent Transportation System Institute,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096);RBF Neural Network Model for Short-term Traffic Prediction[J];Road Traffic & Safety;2007-03
8 Sun Yan Chen Senfa Zhou Zhenguo (Institute of Systems Engineering, College of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China);Application of grey models to traffic flow prediction at non-detector intersections[J];Journal of Southeast Univwrsity(Natural Science Edition);2002-02
9 Hu Xiaojian Wang Wei Lu Jian(Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Traffic Planning and Management,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,China);Determination impact area of traffic incident[J];Journal of Southeast University(Natural Science Edition);2007-05
10 HE Jianguo1,3,ZHANG Wensheng2,ZHAO Genzhuang3 (1.China University Of Mining And Technology, Beijing 100083,China; 2. Shijiazhuang Exploration Survey Research Institute, Shijiazhuang 050011, China; 3.Hebei Geomatics Center, Shijianzhuang 050031,China);Implementation of Intelligent Parking and Guidance System[J];Geospatial Information;2007-02
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 9 Hits
1 GuYuanli, Yu Huihua (School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, 100044);Research on Method of Dynamic Traffic Flow Forecast[A];[C];2005
2 Qin Pinpin Ya Hangao (College of Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031 School of Economics and Manegement, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031);Application of Data Mining Technology in the Optimization of Fixed Traffic Detector Deployment[A];[C];2005
3 Li Min Wang Hui Li Ping (The institute of Industrial Process Control, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310027) (The institute of Systems Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310027);Overview of Urban Traffic Network Control System[A];[C];2001
4 KONG Qing-jie ZHANG Jin-bao LIN Shu(1.School of Control Science and Engineering,Shandong University,Jinan 250061,China;2.Chemical Project School of Shandong Province,Jinan 250013,China);Study of traffic flow forecasting algorithms based on orthogonal wavelet networks[A];[C];2005
5 Li Hongwu1 ,Hu Xiaojian2 ,Lu Jian2 (1. Jiangsu Province Police Office, Nanjing 210024, China; 2. Southeast University Key Laboratory of Transportation Planning and Management of JiangSu Province, Nanjing 210096, China);Research on a method of an urgent traffic dispersion assignment[A];[C];2007
6 Hu Xiaojian, Lu jian (Southeast University, Key Lab for Traffic Planning and Management, Nanjing 210096, China);A Two-step Adaptive Real-time Traffic Flow Prediction Model[A];[C];2007
7 LI Xing-yi1,2,Zhang Li1,Shi Hua-ji 1 (1.School of Computer Science and Telecommunications Engineering, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, Jiangsu 212013, China; 2.Advanced Control Systems Lab School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Beijing Jiao Tong University, Beijing 100044,China);An Improved Short--term traffic flow forecast algorithms based on ARIMA model[A];[C];2007
8 Tian Fu1; Li Yong1; Sun Zhanquan2 1 Jinan Traffic Police Branch Station; 2 Shandong Computer Science Center;Research on Short Time Traffic Flow Forecasting Method[A];[C];2007
9 Chen Ning~1,Wu Jian~1,Wang Yifeng~1,Xu Juanjun~2,Dong Hangzao~2 1.School of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering,Zhejiang University of Science and Technology,Hang Zhou 310023 2.School of Mechanical Engineering,Zhejiang University of Technology,Hang Zhou 310011;Short-Time Prediction Method Based on Fractal Theory for Traffic Flow[A];[C];2009
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 CHEN Hua-you(Department of Mathematics, Anhui University, Hefei230039,China;School of Management Science & Engineering, Nanjing University,Nanjing210093,China);Weighted geometric means combination forecasting method based on L_1 norm[J];Journal of Anhui University(Natural Sciences);2004-04
2 WANG Jie,TAN Gen jia,HU Yi bing,LIU Ming fang (Department of Plant Protection, Anhui Agricultural University,Hefei 230036);The Mid-term Predictive Warning of Neural Network for Bacterial Leaf Blight of Rice Diseases[J];JOURNAL OF ANHUI AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY;2002-01
3 XIAO Yang,LU Ling-yun, GAO Shuang, XIE Yu-ming, XU Da-yong (School of Computer and Information Technology, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044,China);Traffic Data Denoising Compression for Intelligent Traffic Systems Based on 2-D Discrete Wavelet Transformation[J];Journal of Northern Jiaotong University;2004-05
4 YAO Zhi-sheng,SHAO Chun-fu,GAO Yong-liang(School of Traffic and Transportation,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China);Research on Methods of Short-Term Traffic Forecasting Based on Support Vector Regression[J];Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University;2006-03
5 GAO Yanyu, YANG Yang, CHEN Fei Information Engineering School, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China JF Computer System Co. Ltd., Beijing 100083, China;Off-line handwritten Chinese character recognition based on fusion features and LS-SVM[J];Journal of University of Science and Technology Beijing;2005-04
6 LIU Hui-chun, MA Shu-yuan, WU Ping-dong, YANG Feng, ZENG Xing-sheng, BI Lu-zheng (School of Mechanical Engineering and Automation, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing100081, China);Handwritten Digits Recognition for Automatic Analysis System of UK Psychology Test[J];Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology;2002-05
7 ZHANG Yi, LUO Yuan (Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065,P.R.China);Research on urban traffic flow lntelligent prediction based on artificial neural network[J];Journal of Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications;2005-02
8 LIN Ji-peng,LIU Jun-hua(School of Electrical Engineering, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China);Multi-Component Gas Data Fusion Based on Wavelet Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Changchun Post and Telecommunication Institute;2005-04
9 WU Hao-yong~1,CONG Yu-liang~1,WANG Hong-zhi~2 (1.College of Communication Engineering,Jilin University,Changchun 130025,China;2.College of Computer,Changchun University of Technology,Changchun 130012,China);Algorithm of Traffic Parameters Prediction Based on Neural Network[J];Journal of Changchun Post and Telecommunication Institute;2005-06
10 ZHU Shunying1,WANGHong1,LI Guanshou2(1.Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing 400074,China;2.Highway Constructionand Management Department of Chongqing Traffic Committee,Chongqing 401147,China);The ARIMA model used in forecasting of traffic volume in short interval on the link[J];Journal of Chongqing Jiaotong Institute;2003-01
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 HE Hao-xiang,YAN Wei-ming,PENG Ling-yun(Beijing Key Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering and Structural Retrofit,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,China);Damage Identification of Reinforced Concrete Bridge Based on Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2008-03
2 SUN Zhanquan,PAN Jingshan,ZHANG Zanjun,ZHANG Lidong,DING Qingyan (Key Laboratory for Computer Network of Shandong Province,Jinan Shandong 250014,China);Traffic Flow Forecast Based on Combining Principal Component Analysis with Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2009-05
3 LI Xiaolong,WANG Fuming,CAI Yingchun (Department of Transportation Engineering,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou Henan 450002,China);Predicting Deformations of Tunnel Surrounding Rock by Using Least Squares Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development;2009-07
4 LIU Hanli1,ZHOU Chenghu1,ZHU Axing1,2,LI Lin3 1.State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environment Information System,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China;2.Department of Geography,University of Wisconsin-Madison,Madison WI 53706,USA;3.School of Resources and Environmental Science,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430079,China;Multi-Population Genetic Neural Network Model for Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction at Intersections[J];Acta Geodaetica et Cartographica Sinica;2009-04
5 LU Feng,DUAN Yingying,ZANG Zhigang(LREIS,Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China);A Collaborative Work Platform for Dynamic Travel Information Service with Short-term Traffic Prediction[J];Journal of Geo-Information Science;2009-05
6 LI Zhen-long ZHANG Li-guo QIAN Hai-feng School of Electronic Information & Control Engineering,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,China;Review of the Short-term Traffic Flow Forecasting Based on the Non-parametric Regression[J];Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information;2008-04
7 XU Hong-li,ZHOU Jing,CHEN Xing-guang (School of Management & Engineering,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093,China);Analysis and Demonstration of the Traveler's Route Choice Behavior Rule Based on the Prospect Theory[J];Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology;2007-06
8 LU Feng,ZHENG Nian-bo,DUAN Ying-ying,ZHANG Jian-qin(LREIS,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101);Travel Information Services:State of the Art and Discussion on Crucial Technologies[J];Journal of Image and Graphics;2009-07
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHOU Chun guang, XING Hui, XU Zhen long, WANG Ze (College of Computer Science and Technology, Jilin University, Changchun 130012,China);Research of prediction models and arithmetic in commerce[J];Journal of Changchun Post and Telecommunication Institute;2002-03
2 Hu Ruimin;Li Deren (Wuhan Technical University of Surveying and Mapping,Wuhan 430070)Xu Zhengquan;Yao Tianren (Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074);Generalized Information Storing Principle and Higher-Order Generalized Neural Networks[J];ACTA ELECTRONICA SINICA;1996-07
3 Yang Zhaosheng (Jilin University of Technology,Changchun);A Study on the Model for Realtime Dynamic Traffic Flow Forecasting[J];JOURNAL OF HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORTATION RESEACH ANDK DEVELOPMENT;1998-03
4 JIANG Dong-xiang,WANNG Feng-yu,ZHOU Ming,NI Wei-dou (Dept.of Thermal Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing100084,China);Application of Fuzzy Self-Organizing Neural Network to Aeroengine Fault Diagnosis[J];Journal of Aerospace Power;2001-01
5 ZHU Jiayuan1,DENG Zhenting2,ZHANG Hengxi1,QU Yuan1(1.Air Force Engineering University,Xi′an71038,China;2.Department of Air Force Military Acquirement in Chengdu,Chengdu610041,China);Aeroengine Fault Diagnosis Based on Self-Organizing Topology Maps[J];Journal of Aerospace Power;2002-05
6 CHEN Tian 1, SUN Jian guo 1, YANG Wei hua 1 , QIN Hai bo 2 , ZHUO Gang 1 (1.The College of Energy and Power Engineering, Nangjing University of Aeronantics and Astronantics, Nanjing 210016, China) (2. 614 Research Institute, Wuxi 214063, China);Self-Organizing Neural Network Based Fault Diagnosis for Aeroengine Gas Path[J];Acta Aeronautica Et Astronautica Sinica;2003-01
7 XIANG Guo Quan DONG Dao Zhen (Henan University, Kaifeng 475001);ACTIVATION FUNCTIONS AND A METHOD TO IMPROVE THE TRAINING OF NEURAL NETWORKS BY USING BP ALGORITHM[J];JOURNAL OF COMPUTER RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT;1997-02
8 Yang Yun 1 Zhu Jiayuan 2 Zhang Hengxi 21 (Dept.of System Engineering,Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Beijing100083) 2 (Dept.of Aircraft and Engine Engineering,Air Force Engineering University,Xi'an710038);Electronic Equipment Systems Intelligent Fault Diagnosis Based on New Machine Learning Approach[J];Computer Engineering and Applications;2003-22
9 Wang Hongjie Lin Liangming Xu Dagan Yan Guozheng;A Traffic Flow Prognostication Algorithm Based on Improved BP Neural Network[J];Computer and Communications;2001-03
10 Wang Qiang; Shao Huihe; Zhang Zhongjun(Department of Automation);Genetic Evoloved Neural Network and Its Application in Formaldehyde Process Modeling and Optimization[J];JOURNAL OF SHANGHAI JIAOTONG UNIVERSITY;1996-04
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved