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《Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development》 2005-S1
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Applicatioh of GIS-Based Logistic Regression Modal on Spatial Prognosis Studying of Landslide

LI Xue-ping 1,TANG Hui-ming 1,CHEN Shi 2(1.Engineering Faulty,China University of Geosciences,Hubei Wuhan 430074,China;2.Changcheng special steel stock company,Sichuan Jiangyou 621701,China)  
The west area in new Wushan was taken as an experimental region to make spatial prognosis of landslide based on the logistic regression model and GIS, in which the landform, physiognomy, lithological and geological structure are selected as slope stability influence factors. In calculation, the area was compartmentalized into 14450 elements at the size of 10m×10m. Compared with the actual landslide occurrence, the predict accuracy of landslide occurrence is 72.08% and non-occurrence is 81.44%with the criterion of landslide occurrence probability is 0.163. According to the calculated results, the stability of the slope can be identified, and the risk of gnological disasters can be predicted.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目资助(40072085)
【CateGory Index】: P642.22
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