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《JOURNAL OF GANSU SCIENCES》 1999-01
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A STUDY ON FORECASTING METHOD OF THE COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS OF MACROSCOPIC SIGNS OF LANDSLIDE

Wang Nianqin\ Zeng Siwei\ Wu Weijiang (Geological Hazards Institute,Gansu Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou\ 730000\ China) Liu Shuenhua (Lanzhou Building Research Institute of Nonferrous Metals,Lanzhou\ 730020\ China) Yang Zhongcun (Gansu Bureau of Highway,  
With the analysis of macroscopic deformation signs and abnormal phenomena of loess landslides,the multistage fuzzy theory and method were used to build the synthetic judgment model of two stages of loess landslide and the regulation table of numerical values of judgment elements.By taking the Liuping Zu Beishang landslide, Weidian Village,Qinan county as an example, the calculating process of synthetic judgment was introduced in detail,and the result from the judgment can better reflect the developing stage of the landslide .So the method is fit for the middle and short period forecasting of landslides and its feature is simple, convenient and practical.
【Fund】: 甘肃省科学院基金
【CateGory Index】: P642.22
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