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《Journal of Arid Meteorology》 2010-01
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Forecasting Capability Test of Cold Wave Process by Numerical Weather Prediction Products

ZHANG Bingxiang,WANG Lirong,YANG Rongzhen,YAN Ruishu,SU Yuntao(Shijiazhuang Meteorological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050081,China)  
Three wide range cold waves occurred in winter of 2008 in Hebei Province,which were the most in the past 10 years,especially the cold wave appeared from 3 to 5 December 2008 was serious at the same period in the history.In this paper,the observed and forecasted by numerical prediction products including T213 and EC were compared from the atmospheric circulation features,intensity and moving path of the cold air and weather elements,etc.in order to test the capability of forecasting cold wave based on different numerical weather prediction products,and offer more forecasting reference in future.The results suggest that both T213 and EC can forecast the typical characteristics of cold wave outbreak,but T213 has a higher temporal and spatial resolution,and would be more help in improving refined cold wave weather forecast.
【CateGory Index】: P458.122
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