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《Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics》 2013-04
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On the Construction of the Financial Early-warning Model——Based on Empirical Data Collected from China's Securities Market

ZHUANG Ying;ZHU Xiao-juan;Business College,Xiamen University of Technology;  
Nowadays the problem of financial early-warning judgment faced with listed companies has become a hot issue in the studies of finance.Scholars from home and abroad have attained many achievements,and have set up a variety of financial early-warning models.The paper thus uses the financial statements released by listed companies in 2009 as data sources,and takes into account the enterprises' solvency,profitability,operation ability and sustainable management capacity,and preliminarily determines 16 financial early-warning variables.The study first does the significant test on 16 financial indexes via the descriptive statistics of single variations,and then proceeds to identify 3 of them by the stepwise discriminant analysis of multivariate statistics,which help establish the financial early-warning model.Finally through the empirical test of the samples,the study proves that the model has favorable discrimination effects.
【Fund】: 厦门理工学院社科研究项目“我国上市公司内部审计部门设立情况及其查错防弊职能研究”(700272)
【CateGory Index】: F275;F832.51
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【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
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