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《Plateau Earthquake Research》 2008-04
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RESEARCH ON MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST OF Ms≥7.0 EARTHQUAKES IN NORTH-SOUTH SEISMIC BELT

YAN Wu-jian1,2,TU Hong-wei3,DAI Wei1 (1.Earthquake Administration of Gansu Province,Lanzhou 730000,China; 2.Department of Geophysics,Beijing University,Beijing 100871,China; 3.Earthquake Administration of Qinghai Province,Xining 810000,China)  
According to the Mapsis software system and database made by LU Yuan-zhong et al.in CEA,the energy of Ms ≥6.0 earthquakes is calculated.As 1 year scale,and on the basis of the seismic energy theory,the earthquake energy in 508 years is also calculated and the results show that it has good regulation in some periods,and this has a good effect for medium-term forecast of Ms ≥7.0 earthquakes in North-South Seismic Belt.
【Fund】: 甘肃省地震局青年基金(2009253);; 青海省地震局地震科学基金(2007A01)
【CateGory Index】: P315.75
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