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《Plateau Meteorology》 2006-02
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Climate Change of Arctic Atmospheric Circulation in Last 30 Years and Its Effect on Strong Cold Events in China

LI Feng~(1),JIAO Mei-yan~(1),DING Yi-hui~(2),JIN Rong-hua~(1)(1.National Meteorological Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China;2.National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China)  
Based on the NCEP reanalysis data and the cold air outburst processes in each year provided by Central Meteorological Observatory(CMO) in 1971-2000,the climate changes of Arctic atmospheric circulation feature and its effect on strong cold events in China are studied.Results show that atmospheric temperature markedly change during the winter-half-year of 1971-2000,it reflects the polar vorticity(PV) shifting.Extent of PV is larger than normal prior to mid of 1980′s,it trends to reduce later and PV intensity change adversely.Synchronously,the circulation of mid-high latitude band adjust from low index state to another,trend to zonal pattern,East-Asian trough shift to east about 1 degree and 2.2 degree special in winter,Siberian high(SH) varies correspondingly,it is weaker and small orbit in 1970′s,it get stronger and expand in 1980′s and in 1990′s.SH keeps similar intensity but its south edge reduce 1~2 dgree northward than 1980′s,its scope reduce 5%.The findings indicate that the changes result in a decade-scale variation of strong cold event in past 30 years.The cold occur frequently in 1970′s,mainly root from North Europe.The frequency reduces evidently in 1980′s,root mostly from east of Novaja island by north-west route,departure of temperature is most abnormal and extremecold event is most strong.1990′s is the weakest decade though the cold event frequencyincrease,which is related closely with warming and high background air temperature.The features of strong cold change accord with relationship between extreme event and climate change,according it maybe result and reflect of the globe warming.
【Fund】: 国家气象中心自筹基金项目资助
【CateGory Index】: P434
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