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《Plateau Meteorology》 2007-02
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Extreme Precipitation Experimentation over Eastern China Based on L-moment Estimation

CAI Min,DING Yu-guo,JIANG Zhi-hong(Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorolgical Disaster,Nanjing University of Information Science andTechnology,Nanjing 210044,China)  
Based on the 210 stations data of daily precipitation over Eastern China in 1953—2002,12 regions are divided by REOF.The best sampling time length of extreme event defined is 1~2 days,and then analysis the climatic characteristic of extreme precipitation during the time length.The asymptotic distribution is fitted using the Gumbel Distributions,L-moment is an effective method to parameter estimation,with which the fitting precision are improved.The results show that,in past 50 years the trend of extreme precipitation over Eastern China changes little,but large difference is exsit between different decads and regions.The spatial distribution of current extreme precipitation and extreme value with a return period indicate that extreme precipitation decreases from southeast to northwest,there is also a high value in two-lakes basin,Huanghai bay and Liaotung peninsula.
【Fund】: 江苏省气象灾害重点实验室基金项目(KLME050209);; 国家自然科学基金项目(40675043)联合资助
【CateGory Index】: P426.6
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