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《PLATEAU METEOROLOGY》 1994-02
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SUMMARY OF THIRTY-FIVE CASES NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION WITH A LIMITED AREA MODEL

Qian Zhengan Chen Yuchun Li Suhua Lu Shihua Gu Hongdao Li Lanping Song Jie (Lanzhou Institute of Plateau Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Lanzhou,Gansu 730000)  
To test the probability making the operational prediction with a limited area model under the operational environment and to test the performance of the model,in this paper a limited area model system suitable for complex terrain regions,with quite complex model physics processes,was used,a set of 48-h forecasting for 35 cases totally including both the periods of July 1 30,1981 and August 10 14,1988 was conducted utilizing the ECMWF's 2 5°×2 5°lon./lat. gridded data and the DCD code station data from National Meteorological Center of China,respectively. The paper is the summary of the prediction test verification. The objective and subjective verifications of both the circulation situation and precipitation predictions show,the model has already had the probability making the operational prediction under the operational environment and has a quite good performance as well,especially in heavy rain forecast.
【CateGory Index】: P456.7
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