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《NORTH CHINA EARTHGUAKE SCIENCES》 1995-01
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COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION OF SEISMIC RISK AREAS BY MID-TERM ANOMALIES OF SEISMIC ACTIVITY

Li Wenying;Zhang Qingrong;Ping Jianjun(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021)  
Basing on the analysis of the characteristics of the seismic activity before the moderately strong and the larger earthquakes occurred in the Capital Circle area(35.5°- 41°N, 113°~120°E),this paper sums up the universal characteristics of the seismic activity before the moderately strong and the larger earthquakes in this areaa,makes a comprehensive analysis of seismic activity anomalies by seismogenic model and gives the physical basis of earthquake prediction by seismic activity anomalies.This paper also proposed the comprehensive distinguishing index of earthquake prediction by mid-term anomalies of seismic activity When it reaches the given threshold value,then according to the geologic structure,the natural probability of occurrence of moderately strong and the larger earthquakes f the earthquake-reducing action after a large earthquake,the distribution of mid-term amomalies of seismic activity and its prdiction effectiveness,the two-dimmensional comprehensive probability distribution map can be given,the area with higher probability value can be considered as a risk area of a moderatly strong or largerearthquake in the coining one or two years. Furthermore,the study of the magnitude and time prediction has been made.
【CateGory Index】: P315.7
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【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 Li Wenying Zhang qingrong Ping Jianjun Wang Qingcai Chen Shaoxu (Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021);TRACING FOR EARTHQUAKE SITUATION AND SYNTHETIC PROBABILITY PREDICTION FOR EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE TIME[J];华北地震科学;2000-02
2 Li Wenying; Ping Jianjun; Zhang Qingrong(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021);A STUDY OF SHORT TERM AND IMMINENT COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION METHOD OF EARTRQUAKES[J];华北地震科学;1995-03
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Li Wenying (Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province)Wu Guoyou(Seismological Bureau of Tianjin)Zhang Qingrong(Seismological Bureau of Ilebci Province);APPLICATION OF MULTILEVEL FUZZY SYNTHETIC DECI-SION TO EARTHQUAKE SYNTHETIC PREDICTION[J];地震;1990-01
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 5 Hits
1 Min Xiangyi (Seismological Institute of Lanzhou, SSB, Lanzhou 730000, China);APPLICATION OF FUZZY CLUSTERING ALGORITHM TO PREDICTION OF LARGE EARTHQUAKES BASED ON MULTIPLE PARAMETERS IN CHINA'S MAINLAND[J];地震;1996-03
2 Li Wenying;Zhang Qingrong;Ping Jianjun(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021);COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION OF SEISMIC RISK AREAS BY MID-TERM ANOMALIES OF SEISMIC ACTIVITY[J];华北地震科学;1995-01
3 Li Wenying Chen Shaoxu Zhang Qingrong (Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province);RESEARCH ON SYNTHETIC INDEX OF THE SHORT-TERM AND IMMINENT EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];地震;1994-05
4 Cheng Daye Wang Xiuwen (Seismological Bureau of Shanxi Province);A Study on the Developing Trend of Datong-Yanggao M6.1 Earthquake by Way of Fuzzy Synthetical Judgement[J];山西地震;1992-03
5 Feng Deyi Yu Xuejun(Seismological Bureau of Tianjin) (Seismological Institute of Lanzhou, SSB);APPLICATIONS OF FUZZY MATHEMATICS TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];地震;1990-05
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 Zhang Tianzhong,Wang Linying,Liu Qingfang (Institute of Geophysics,CSB,Beijing,100081);ELEMENTARY DISCUSSION ON THE PROBABILISTIC METHOD OF SHORT TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];国际地震动态;1998-07
2 Zhang Zhaodong ;Zhang Hua; Hu Changhe; Zhao Xinglan Scismological Bureau of Shandong Province, Jinan 250021 Architectural Engineering Institute of Shandong Province, Jinan 250014;CHARACTER OF FIELD AND SOURCE PRECURSOR FOR INFORMATION ENTROPY OF ALL SORTS OF PRECURSORY ANOMALIES OF EARTHQUAKES BEFORE TANGSHAN EARTHQUAKE(Ms 7. 8) IN 1976[J];华北地震科学;1997-03
3 Li Wenying;Zhang Qingrong;Ping Jianjun(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021);COMPREHENSIVE PREDICTION OF SEISMIC RISK AREAS BY MID-TERM ANOMALIES OF SEISMIC ACTIVITY[J];华北地震科学;1995-01
4 Li Wenying Zhang Qingrong Ping Jianjun( Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province );COMPREHENSIVE MARK OF SHORT-TERM AND IMPENDING ANOMALY IN NORTH CHINA AND STUDY ON PREDICTION INDEX[J];地震;1994-01
5 Zhou Shuoyu, Wu Yun, Dong Huifeng (Institute of Seismology,State Seismological Bureau);Information Synthesis of Seismogenic System[J];中国地震;1990-04
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7 NIU ZHIREN AND CHEN DANGMIN(Scismological Bureau of Shaonxi Province);SLIP-WEAKENING INSTABILITY ON A STRIKE-SLIP FAULT WITH ASPERITY[J];地震学报;1987-03
8 Feng De-Yi Gu Jin-Ping Luo Rui-Ming Shcng Guo-Ying(The Scismological Itlstiludc of Laticlioti,state Scismological Bureau);TNE STATISTICAL Indexes OF SEISMICITY AND THE PROBABILITY PREDICTION FOR THE TIME OF EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE[J];地震研究;1981-01
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 Zhang Xiaodong Fu Zhengxiang Zhang Yongxian Niu Anfu Huang Fuqiong Peng Keyin Lu Jun (Center for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, China);STUDIES AND EXPERIMENTS ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION DURING 1999~2002[J];地震学报;2003-05
2 ZHANG Qing-rong, BIAN Qing-kai, PING Jian-jun, LIU Hui-ying (Seismological Bureau of Hebei Prov.,Shijiazhuang 050021,China);Relationship between the synthetic probability of seismicprecursory anomalies and the occurrence of medium and strong earthquakes[J];华北地震科学;2001-02
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