Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Hohai University(Natural Sciences)》 2009-03
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Application of projection pursuit auto regression model in predicting runoff of Yangtze River

YU Guo-rong1,YE Hui,2,XIA Zi-qiang3,ZHAO Xiao-yong4(1.Faculty of Electric Power Engineering,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650051,China;2.Pulandian Water Resources Investigation and Design Institute of Dalian City,Pulandian 116200,China;3.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;4.Yantai Water Conservancy Bureau,Yantai 264000,China)  
In order to accurately predict the runoff of the Yangtze River,a new model—the projection pursuit auto regression mode is introduced.The prediction factors were determined using of the auto-correlation analysis technique. A new function of projection indices was established and optimized using a real coded accelerating genetic algorithm.A projection pursuit auto regression model was established and applied in the predication of the runoff of the Yangtze River.The calculated results show that the time series of the predicted runoff of the Yangtze River by means of the present model is feasible and effective.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金重大项目(30490235);; 昆明理工大学人才培养项目(14118119)
【CateGory Index】: P332
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHUO Ga1,JIAN Jun2,BIANBA Ci-ren1(1.Tibet Institute of Plateau Atmospheric and Environmental Science,Lhasa Tibet 850000,China; 2.Shannan Meteorological Bureau of Tibet,Zêtang Tibet 856000,China);Runoff of the Jinsha River: Characteristics and Its Response to Climate Change[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2011-02
2 WANG Zeng-xue,ZHOU Zhi-hua,ZOU Xiao-tian,YANG Xiao-bing;Application study on mid long term hydrological forecasting method[J];Water Resources & Hydropower of Northeast China;2012-04
3 LI Sulan(Bridge Maintenance Management Office of Wuhan,Wuhan 430015,China);The Short-term Traffic Flow Forecast Based on Projection Pursuit Regression[J];Journal of Transport Information and Safety;2011-04
4 Shi Biao1,Li Yuxia1,Yu Xinhua2,Niu Yanli1(1.Institute of Water Resources and Hydro-electric Engineering,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China;2.Technical Institute of High Vocation,QingDao University of Science and Technology,Qingdao 261000,China);Long-term runoff forecast method based on dynamic adjustment particle swarm optimizer algorithm and Holt-Winters linear seasonal model[J];Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering;2010-07
5 XU Song-jin,1,LONG Wen 2(Department of Mathematics and Computer Scienc,Tongren University 1,Tongren 554300,P.R.China;Key Laboratory of Economics System Simulation,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics 2,Guiyang 550004,P.R.China);Parameters Selection for LSSVM Based on Differential Evolution to Mid-long Term Runoff Prediction[J];Science Technology and Engineering;2012-27
6 LI Qi1,MA Jianbin2,LIU Hongji3(1.College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;2.Pudong New Area Hydrology and Water Resource Administration,Shanghai 200129,China;3.Jilin Branch,Bureau of Hydrology and Water Resources of Jilin Province,Jilin 132013,China);Research on Projection Pursuit Forecast Model Based On Stepwise Regression[J];Water Resources and Power;2011-02
7 LI Li,ZHOU Yuan-guo,ZHAN Tang-sen (School of Science and Technology Art,Jingdezhen Ceramic Institute,Jingdezhen 333001,China);Controlpoints Optimization Smoothing Algorithm and Its Application in Predicting Runoff of Yangtze River[J];Mathematics in Practice and Theory;2011-20
8 BAI Ji-zhong1,2,SHI Biao1,FENG Min-quan1,ZHOU Li-kun1,3 (1.Institute of Water Resources and Hydro electric Engineering,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China;2.Shanxi Water Conservancy Technical Institute,Yuncheng Shanxi 044004,China;3.Engineering College of CAPF,Xi'an 710086,China);Adaptive Ant Colony System Algorithm and Application in Water Resources Optimal Allocation Model[J];Journal of Shenyang Agricultural University;2011-04
9 LI Kefei,JI Changming,ZHANG Yanke,WANG Liping,LI Yang (School of Renewable Energy,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China);Study and application of ensemble model of hierarchical structure for reservoir runoff prediction[J];Yangtze River;2012-21
10 LI Kefei,JI Changming,ZHANG Yanke,XIANG Tengfei(School of Renewable Energy,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China);Fuzzy Risk Analysis of Reservoir Predicted Power Generation Operation[J];Water Resources and Power;2012-12
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 4 Hits
1 Li Zuoyong (Chengdu Institute of Meteorology,Chengdu 610041);PROJECTION PURSUIT THEORY (PPT)AND ITS PROGRESS OF APPLICATION[J];EXPLORATION OF NATURE;1998-01
2 JIN Juliang(School of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei)WEI Yining(Instilule of Policy & Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing)FU Qiang DING Jing (College of Hydro-electricity, Sichuan University, Chengdu);APPLICATION OF PROJECTION PURSUIT THRESHOLD AUTO-REGRESSIVE MODEL TO PREDICTING SEA ICE CONDITIONS[J];Marine Forecasts;2002-04
3 JIN Ju liang 1,YANG Xiao hua 2,DING Jing 1 (1.College of Hydraulic Eng., Sichuan Univ., Chengdu 610065,China;2. Hohai Univ., Nanjin 210098,China);Real Coding Based Acceleration Genetic Algorithm[J];JOURNAL OF SICHUAN UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE EDITION);2000-04
4 Li Zouyong Den Xinming ( Chendu College of Meteorology, Chendu 610041;Prediction of the Concentration of Atmospheric Pollution by Projection Pursuit Auto-regression[J];Shanghai Environmental Sciences;1997-07
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 FANG Chong1,WEI Qinghui1,2,LIANG Hanji3(1.Guangxi Hydraulic and Electric Polytechnic,Nanning 530023,China;2.College of Civil and Aitectural Engineering,Guangxi University,Nanning 530004,China;3.Guangxi Hualan Design & Consulting Group,Nanning 530011,China);A method of projection pursuit evaluation based on genetic algorithm on damage of high strength concrete after exposed to fire[J];Sichuan Building Science;2010-04
2 XUE Tong-zhan,WAN Guo-ming(School of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China);Bilinear time series model of urban demand dynamic forecasting[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture;2005-06
3 LU Ming et al(Technology Center of China Tobacco Fujian Industrial Corporation,Xiamen,Fujian 361022);ARMA Forecast Model of Tar of Cigarette Smoke[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2008-14
4 ZHOU Wen et al(North China University of Water Conservancy and Electric Power,Zhenzhou,Henan 450011);Application of Time Sequece in Prediction of Cotton's Water Demand in Dry Area[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2008-23
5 LIU Jian et al (School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu,Sichuan 610031);Study on Projection Pursuit Model Applied in Water Quality Assessment[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-01
6 LU Ke-fen et al(Guangxi Hydraulic and Electric Polytechnic,Nanning,Guangxi 530023);Study on the Evaluation Method of Projection Pursuit Based on Artificial Fish Swarm Algorithm[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-23
7 LIU Yan-ming et al(Guangxi Hydraulic and Electric Polytechnic,Nanning,Guangxi 530023);Study on Water Quality Evaluation of Nanning Inland River Based on Projection Pursuit and Particle Swarm Optimization[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-26
8 LIU Yan-ming et al(Guangxi Vocational College of Hydraulic and Electric Technology,Nanning,Guangxi 530023);A New Comprehensive Evaluation Method on Sustainable Development of Large-middle-scale Irrigated Area[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-27
9 LU Ke-fen et al(Guangxi Hydraulic and Electric Polytechnic,Nanning,Guangxi 530023);Projection Pursuit Analysis of Water Quality Evaluation of in Agricultural Irrigation Based on Artificial Fish-Swarm Algorithm[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-28
10 LIU Juan et al (College of Resources and Environment,Southwest University,Chongqing 400716);Analysis on the Change Status and Causes of Rainfall-runoff Relationship[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-10
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Xu Jia Li Qing (Institute of Intelligence Control,University of Beijing Information Science & Technology,No.35,North 4th Ring Middle Road, Chaoyang District,Beijing,100101 China);UAV Strapdown Inertia Combination Modeling and Filtering Method Research[A];[C];2011
2 WU Wenshuai,KOU Gang (School of Management and Economics,University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,Chengdu 610054,China);The Evaluation of Urban Environment Governance Capability Using Entropy Weight Based TOPSIS and a Dynamic Combined Evaluation Method[A];[C];2010
3 Zhang Weiwei~1 Jin Juliang~1 Zhang Libing~1 College of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China.;Genetic Algorithm Based Priority Method of Triangular Judgment Matrix Fuzzy Number Complementary[A];[C];2007
4 LIAO Huo-mu~(1,2) 1.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology on Water Resource and Hydraulic Engineering,Hehai University,Nanjing 210098,China; 2.Monitoring Center of the Geology Environment in Fujian Province,Fuzhou 350001,China;The Appliance of Fading Memory Method in Forecasting Groundwater Level[A];[C];2006
5 JIN Ju-liang,HONG Tian-qiu, WANG Ming-wu ( College of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China; College of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China.;Projection pursuit model for evaluating eco-environmental quality of Chaohu lake basin[A];[C];2005
6 ZHOU Hai-bo, LIU Jian-ye, LAI Ji-zhou, XIONG Zhi ( Navigation Research Center, College of Automation Engineering, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China) ( Flight Trial and Training Base of PLA Air Force, Cangzhou 061022, China);Research on Mix Linear Regression Model of Temperature Compensation on FOG Drift[A];[C];2006
7 Dong zhi-gui Wang jin-wu (Engineering College, Northeast Agriculture University Harbin 150030);Economic Projection Model Investigation Base on Time Series[A];Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering[C];2006
8 Wang Shuangyin,Zhu Xiaoqun,Cao Hongxia (College of water resources and architectural engineering,Northwest Agriculture and forestry university,Yangling,Shaanxi 712100,China);Analysis on characterics of sequential variation for riverhead inflow in four irrigation districts of the west of GUANZHONG[A];Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering[C];2010
9 ;Application of Projection Pursuit Regression Model Based on RAGA to Forecast of Reference Crop Evaporation[A];Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering[C];2010
10 ZHU Ye-yu1,LI Qun-shan2,BAI Hui-min3 (1Climate Center of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 45003,china;2Xuchang Meteorological Bureau,Xuchang 461000,china;3Luoyang Meteorological Bureau,Luoyang 471000,china);The analysis on Variety regulation of Annual Runoff in Sanhuajian Basin[A];[C];2010
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 LU Ke-fen et al(Guangxi Vocational College of Hydraulic and Electric Technology,Nanning,Guangxi 530023);Application of Nonparametric Projection Pursuit Regression in Prediction of Dam Land Sedimentation of Warping Dam[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-27
2 Li Xiuyun Tang Qicheng (Institute of Geography, Academia Sinica);Analysis and Forecasting of Low Runoff in the Northwest[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;1988-01
3 Lai Zuming(Lanzhou Institute of Glaciology and Geocryology, Chinese Academy of Sciences. 730000);Impact of Climate Variation on the Runoff of Large Rivers in the Tibetan Plateau[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;1996-S1
4 JIN Ju-liang, YANG Xiao-hua, JIN Bao-ming, DING Jing (Sichuan University, Chengdu Sichuan 610065, China) (Hehai University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210098, China) (Water Electricity, Bureau of Nanping, Naping Fujian 353000, China);Application of Threshold Regressive Model to Predicting Annual Runoff[J];JOURNAL OF GLACIOLGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY;2000-03
5 WANG Jian, SHEN Yong ping, LU An xin, WANG Li hong, SHI Zheng tao (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, CAS, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China);Impact of Climate Change on Snowmelt Runoff in the Mountainous Regions of Northwest China[J];Journal of Glaciolgy and Geocryology;2001-01
6 YE Bai-sheng, DING Yong-jian, LIU Chao-hai (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, CAS, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China);Response of Valley Glaciers in Various Size and Their Runoff to Climate Change[J];Journal of Glaciolgy and Geocryology;2001-02
7 SHEN Yong ping, WANG Gen xu, WU Qing bai, LIU Shi yin (Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China );The Impact of Future Climate Change on Ecology and Environments in the Changjiang-Yellow Rivers Source Region[J];Journal of Glaciolgy and Geocryology;2002-03
8 ZENG Tao,HAO Zhen-chun,WNAG Jia-hu (Water Resources Development and Utilization Laboratory, Hehai University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210098, China);Modeling the Response of Runoff to Climate Change[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2004-03
9 YE Bai-sheng~(1),LI Chong~(2),YANG Da-qing~(3), DING Yong-jian~(1),SHEN Yong-ping~(1) (1.Cold and Arid regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China; 2.China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China; 3. Water and Environment Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks AK99775, USA);Variation Trend of Precipitation and Its Impact on Water Resources in China during Last 50 Years (Ⅰ): Annual Variation[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2004-05
10 YE Bai-sheng~(1), LI Chong~(2), YANG Da-qing~(3), DING Yong-jian~(1), SHEN Yong-ping ~(1) (1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China; 2.China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China; 3. Water and Environment Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbank Alaska 99775, USA);Variation Trend of Precipitation and Its Impact on Water Resources in China during Last 50 Years (Ⅱ) : Monthly Variation[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2005-01
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Peng Shuaiying1,Li Guangjie1,Peng Wen2,Ma Jianquan1,Wang Xuedong1,Qin Shengwu1 1.College of Construction and Engineering,Jilin University,Changchun 130026,China 2.China Railway Erju Group Corporation Survey and Design Institute Co.,Ltd,Chengdu 610036,China;Mining Subsidence Forecast Method Based on Improved Genetic Algorithm and Holt-Winters Model[J];Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition);2013-02
2 HAO Zhen-chun1,YANG Rong-rong1,CHEN Xin-mei2,CHEN Xi1, LIANG Zhi-hao1,Dawa Dun-zhu3(1.State Key Laboratory of Hydrology & Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering,Hehai University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210098,China;2.The Bureau of Water Resources of Handan Municipality,Handan Hebei 056001,China;3.Hydrology Bureau of Tibet Autonomous Region,Lhasa Tibet 850000,China);Tempo-Spatial Patterns of the Potential Evaporation in the Yangtze River Catchment for the Period 1960-2011[J];Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology;2013-02
3 HU Yu-feng1,ZHANG Feng1,2,LI Kuang1,XU Hai-qing1,LI Lin1,LEI Xiao-hui1(1.China Institute of Water Resource and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100038,China; 2.School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Donghua University,Shanghai 201620,China);Research on Monthly Runoff Forecast During Dry Season at Wuzhou Hydrological Station in Pearl River[J];South-to-North Water Diversion and Water Science & Technology;2012-01
4 LIU Yuanlin1 HU Wusheng1 LI Sulan2 LI Hongwei1(1.School of Transportation,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,China; 2.Wuhan Bridge Maintenance Management Office,Wuhan 430015,China);Short-term Traffic Prediction Based on a Combined Projection Pursuit Regression and BP Neural Network Model[J];Journal of Transport Information and Safety;2012-04
5 XU Song-jin,1,LONG Wen 2(Department of Mathematics and Computer Scienc,Tongren University 1,Tongren 554300,P.R.China;Key Laboratory of Economics System Simulation,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics 2,Guiyang 550004,P.R.China);Parameters Selection for LSSVM Based on Differential Evolution to Mid-long Term Runoff Prediction[J];Science Technology and Engineering;2012-27
6 ZHOU Li-kun1,2,LIU Hong-zhao1(1.Faculty of Mechanical and Precision Instrument Engineering,Xi′an University of Technology,Xi′an 710048,China;2.Equipment and Transportation Department,Engineering University of CAPF,Xi′an 710086,China);Soving the self-excited pulsed nozzle structural parameters of the model by adaptive particle swarm algorithm[J];Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition);2012-06
7 Tong Fangfang, Guo Ping ※ (College of Water Resources and Civil Engineering, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China);Forecast method of irrigation water use considering uncertain runoff[J];Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering;2013-07
8 XU Gang;YU Chong;College of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering,China Three Gorges University;;Application of Parametric Projection Pursuit Regression Based on Genetic Algorithm in Runoff Forecasting[J];Water Resources and Power;2013-09
9 CEN Sixian 1 , QIN Ningsheng 2 , LI Yuanyuan 2 (1. Chengdu Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Chengdu 610072, China ; 2. Sichuan Provincial Agrometeorological Center, Chengdu 610072, China );Climatic Characteristics of Runoff Variation in Flood Season in Jinsha River Basin[J];Resources Science;2012-08
10 CHEN Taizheng 1 , HOU Jingwei 2 , CHEN Zhun 1 (1. College of Environment & Planning, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004 , China; 2. School of Resouece and Environment, Ningxia University, Yinchuan 750021 , China);Quantitative Studies of the Optimization Allocation of Water Resources in China – A Review[J];Resources Science;2013-01
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 9 Hits
1 Zhou Shuangxi; Yang Bin (Tsinghua University. 100084. Beijing. China);FACTORS OF EFFECT ON THE PERFORMENCE OF GENETIC ALGORITHMS APPLIED TO REACTIVE POWER OPTIMIZATION AND THE METHODS TO PERFECT IT[J];AUTOMATION OF ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS;1996-07
2 Shi Linke (Geophysical prospecting Center, SSB., Zhengzhou 450003);THE GENETIC ALGORITHM THAT GRADUALLY REDUCES THE SEARCHING RANGES[J];PROGRESS IN GEOPHYSICS;1995-04
3 Yu Jiaai;Liu Qinzheng(National Marine Environmental Monitoring Center,Dalian,116023);A Grey System Forecasting Method Used to Forecast the Sea ice Condition[J];MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE;1995-04
4 Jin Juliang Yang Xiaohua(Hehai University,Nanjing,210098)Chu Kaifeng Li Jianqiang(Nanjing Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources,Nanjing,210024);Application of accelerative genetic algorithm to forecast marine environment[J];MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE;1997-04
5 JIN Ju liang 1,YANG Xiao hua 2,DING Jing 1 (1.College of Hydraulic Eng., Sichuan Univ., Chengdu 610065,China;2. Hohai Univ., Nanjin 210098,China);Real Coding Based Acceleration Genetic Algorithm[J];JOURNAL OF SICHUAN UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE EDITION);2000-04
6 Liu Daxiu, Zheng Zuguo, Ge Yixion;The Applied Researches of Projection Pursuit Regression in the Experiment Design Analysis[J];APPLICATION OF STATISTICS AND MANAGEMENT;1995-01
7 Wei Liutao; Zeng Qingchnan; Jiang Tiebing; Ye Jinjinng; Huang Dinjiang(Huazhong University of Science and Technology 430074);A New Henristic Genetic Algorithm and Its Application in Solution of the Unit Commitment[J];CHINESE SOCIETY FOR ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING;1994-02
8 Yang Xiaohua 1 Jin Baoming 2 Ding Jing 3 1)Hohai University,Nanjing 210098 2)Water & Electricity Bureau of Nanping 3) Sichuan University;APPLICATION OF THRESHOLD AUTO REGRESSIVE MODEL TO PREDICTING MARINE CONDITION[J];JOURNAL OF CATASTROPHOLOGY;1999-04
9 Li Zuo-yongProfessor, Department of Atmospheric Electronic Engineering, Chengdu Institute of Meteorology, Chengdu 610041;Projection Pursuit Technology (PPT)and Its Progress of Application[J];Nature Magazine;1997-04
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved