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《Heilongjiang Animal Science and Veterinary Medicine》 2017-08
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Study on the decision for the breeding behavior of farmers in the three provinces in Northeast China based on prospect theory

LI Tuo;QIAN Wei;LI Cuixia;College of Economics and Management,Northeast Agricultural University;  
Farmer decision-making behavior of planting and breeding is a micro-foundation for the adjustment of planting industry and animal husbandry,which is crucial for the balance of regional agricultural industry and of great significance to increasing the income level of farmers.Therefore,it makes farmers independent and scientific decision-making of planting and breeding to propose an understandable standard,which can effectively promote farmers to increase income and improve the low-income status of farmers in the region. The author establishes a risk decision-making model of farmers base on the prospect theory,and gives the specific criteria for the behavioral choices of planting and breeding of farmers to avoid the defects of previous studies only by analyzing the influencing factors. Through the analysis of individual land scale,the amount of labor,cost and income factors,the author constructs the decision matrix and calculates the value of comprehensive prospect gain to obtain the sequential relationship of the appropriate degree of planting behavior adjustment of the farmers with different factors and levels. Finally,the author gives a relative optimal decision-making plan for farmers under different factor levels through using an example,which provides a basis for the government to guide farmers for selection of planting and breeding and optimize the layout of agricultural industry.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目“基于粮食安全的东北地区养殖业与粮食生产良性竞协发展机制研究”(71173035);; 中国博士后基金项目(2013M540267)
【CateGory Index】: F327
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