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《Henan Science》 2019-07
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Logistics Demand Forecasting of Henan Based on Gray ARIMA Combination Model

MA Qiaoyun;ZOU Xianglin;GUO Kenan;School of Information and Management Sciences,Henan Agricultural University;  
Taking the turnover of goods in Henan Province as an index to measure the logistics demand of Henan Province,this paper constructs a Grey ARIMA combination forecasting model to analyze the data of the turnover of goods in Henan Province from 1978 to 2017,and forecasts the turnover of goods in Henan Province from 2018 to2020. The results show that the accuracy of Grey ARIMA combination forecasting model meets the requirements,and the turnover of goods in Henan Province shows an increasing trend,which indicates that the scale of logistics industry in Henan Province continues to grow. At the same time,it also indicates that the economic development momentum of Henan Province continues to improve in the future.
【Fund】: 河南省高等学校重点科研项目(19A120007);; 河南省软科学基金项目(192400410295)
【CateGory Index】: F259.27
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【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 4 Hits
1 WU Xinghua;South China Normal University;Hengyang Normal University;;Regional Logistics Demand Forecast Based on GSO-GNNM Model[J];科技管理研究;2015-11
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3 Geng Liyan;Ding Lulu;School of Economics & Management,Shijiazhuang University of Rails;School of Marxism,Harbin University of Technology;;Forecasting of Logistics Demand Based on Grey Correlation Analysis and Least Square SVM[J];物流技术;2013-19
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【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 Xu Maozeng;Yu Guoyin;School of Management,Chongqing Jiaotong University;;Implementation of Logistics Demand Forecasting System Based on Hybrid Programming with C # and MATLAB[J];重庆交通大学学报(自然科学版);2015-04
2 HU Zewen;WU Yishan;;Scientific Research Evaluation Practices in Foreign Universities[J];高教发展与评估;2015-04
3 Hu Zewen;Wu Yishan;School of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;Institute of Scientific & Technical Information of China;;Review on Significance,Progress and Important Topics in Study on Uncitedness[J];情报学报;2015-02
4 GENG Li-yan;School of Economics and Management, Shijiazhuang Tiedao University;;Forecast of Logistics Demand Using LSSVM Combining GRA with KPCA[J];交通运输系统工程与信息;2015-01
5 XIE Yu-fei;ZHU Zhou-li;ZHAI Xiao-liang;MA Lin;LI Jing-yu;ZHU Ping;College of Internet of Things,Jiangnan University;College of Science,Jiangnan University;;Evaluation Model and Regression Analysis of Patent Classification Changes in Chinese Universities[J];技术与创新管理;2014-03
6 WAN Qing-feng;LEI Yu-yong;CHEN Zhong-min;PAN Zheng-Zheng;School of Mechanical Engineering & Automation,Xihua University;;Research on Regression Model of Tool Preparation Surface Quality Based on Micro Abrasive Water Jet[J];组合机床与自动化加工技术;2014-01
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Geng Liyan;Ding Lulu;School of Economics & Management,Shijiazhuang University of Rails;School of Marxism,Harbin University of Technology;;Forecasting of Logistics Demand Based on Grey Correlation Analysis and Least Square SVM[J];物流技术;2013-19
2 LIANG Yi-gang 1,GENG Li-yan 1,ZHANG Zhan-fu 2(1.School of Economy and Management,Shijiazhuang Railway College,Shijiazhuang 050043,Hebei,China;2.Sifang School,Shijiazhuang Railway University,Shijiazhuang 051132,Hebei,China);Forecast of Regional Logistic Demand based on KPCA-LSSVM[J];铁道运输与经济;2012-11
3 LI Hong-ze,GUO Sen,LI Chun-jie(School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China);A Hybrid Forecasting Model Based on Fruit Fly Optimization Algorithm and Least Squares Support Vector Machine:——the Case of Logistics Demand Forecasting of China[J];经济数学;2012-03
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5 GENG Li-yan1,ZHAO Peng2,ZHANG Zhan-fu3 (1.School of Economics & Management,Shijiazhuang Tiedao University,Shijiazhuang 050043,China;2.E&A College,Hebei Normal University of Science & Technology,Qinhuangdao Hebei 066004,China;3.Shijiazhuang Tiedao University Sifang College,Shijiazhuang 051132,China);Logistics demand forecasting based on LSSVM optimized by two-order oscillating PSO[J];计算机应用研究;2012-07
6 GENG Li-yan,ZHANG Tian-wei,ZHAO Peng(1.School of Economics and Management,Shijiazhuang Tiedao University,Shijiazhuang 050043,China; 2.School of Transportation,Shijiazhuang Tiedao University,Shijiazhuang 050043,China; 3.E&A College of Hebei Normal University of Science & Technology,Qinhuangdao 066004,China);Forecast of Railway Freight Volumes Based on LS-SVM with Grey Correlation Analysis[J];铁道学报;2012-03
7 NIU Fang-bing(Department of Economics,Heze University,Heze,Shandong 274015,China);Analysis and Forecast of Logistics Demand in Shandong Based on Gray System Theory[J];西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版);2011-05
8 TIAN Gang1,LI Nan2,Liu Si-feng2 (1.College of Business Administration,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang 212013,China;2.Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China);Grey Forecast of Logistics Demand Based on Parameter Optimize Model[J];华东经济管理;2011-06
9 Luo Shiguang1,Ye Sai2,Hu Rong1(1.Department of Applied Mathematics,Guangdong University of Finance,Guangzhou 510521,China;2.Department of Computer Science and Technology,Guangdong University of Finance,Guangzhou 510521,China);A Research of Forecasing the Logistics Amount Based on Multi-output Support Vector Regression[J];华东交通大学学报;2010-05
10 LI Zheng-feng(School of Economics and Management,Yancheng Institute of Technology,Yancheng 224051,China);Grey Prediction of Logistics Requirements in the Coastal Region of Jiangsu Province[J];华东经济管理;2010-07
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