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《Construction Management Modernization》 2007-01
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Analysis and Prediction of Periodic Fluctuations of Chinese Real Estate Market According to the Trend of Stock

MIAO Yu-hai, LIU Zhi-jie ( School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China )  
The periodic fluctuation of real estate market is an important influencing factor on the prosperity degree of real estate industry. At first, a composite index of annual prosperity for real estate market is established based on principal component analysis, then time series with a high correlation to this index are found out from capital market and analyzed. Finally, predictions on the medium long term trend and inflexion points of Chinese real estate market are provided according to wave principle.
【CateGory Index】: F293.3;F832.51;F224
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