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《Journal of Engineering Management》 2012-03
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Periodical Fluctuation and Influential Factors of Real Estate Based on Ordinal Clustering Analysis

ZHANG Kun-sheng1,ZHU Yi-han2,XIONg Jun-xi2,ZHAO Dong-mei2(1.China Southwest Architectural Design & Research Institute Co.,Ltd,Chengdu 611756,China2.Southwest JiaoTong University,Chengdu 611756,China)  
Nowadays,with the wild fluctuation of real estate market in China,it is necessary to conduct research on such a phenomenon.To start with,by consulting large amounts of literature study,this paper summarizes the literatures and selects a reasonable indicator system for appropriate study.With the method of ordinal clustering as well as the selected indicator system,the points of time characterized by its minimum internal differences and maximum differences between periods are chosen as the turning points for the real estate fluctuation cycles,which may lead to some conclusions on the fluctuation of the real estate in China.Then the method of hierarchical clustering is adopted to analyze the real estate fluctuation in order to validate the soundness of the method involved.Finally,the approach of factor analysis is employed to find out the key factors that account for the fluctuation of the real estate.
【CateGory Index】: F293.3;F224
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