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《Economic Survey》 2007-01
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An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Urbanization and Industrial Structure of China

YANG Wen-ju (College of Economics and Trading, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China)  
Using the data from 1978 to 2004 as samples and applying ADF unit root test approach, Johansen co-integration test approach, Engle Granger error correction theory and Granger causality analysis approach, this article makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between the urbanization and the industrial structure of China. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the urbanization and the industrial structure of China, which is different from their short-term relationship and that the one-way Granger causality and their respective variances all have inertia. On the basis of the empirical analysis results and the discussion of their causes, this article advances that in the course of Chinese economic development we should be cognizant of the long-term and short-term relationship between the urbanization and the industrial structure of China, further reform the registration institution, introduce, transform and absorb appropriate advanced technology selectively, increase urban infrastructure investment, optimize urban investment environment and devote major efforts to developing the tertiary industry of our country.
【CateGory Index】: F299.2;F121.23
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