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《Journal of Financial Research》 2008-09
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Population Dividend,Short-term Excess Liquidity and the Supply of Modern Financial Services in China

Tian Suhua Xu Mingdong Xu Ye  
The excess liquidity faced by China's financial system in recent years is characteristic of short-term phenomenon,mainly due to beth China's population components and its labor movement.The development of Chinas financial sectors between 2008 and 2010,such as banking,securities,and insurance,will also affected by above two factors.Along with the process of the rural labor force movement goes to a senior stage,the simple labor shortage in China will take place,which will improve the simple labor's competitiveness in wage bargain, and will also raise the wage level wholly in China.In the course of labor movement and short-run excess liquidi- ty,the demand for modern financial services including private asset management,consultancy for investment, and credit for private expenditure Hill expand quickly in China.
【Fund】: 国家社会科学基金项目(项目批准号07BJL043);; 上海市哲学社会科学规划课题(项目批准号2005BJL001)资助;; 复旦大学世界经济学科985创新基地研究项目的部分研究成果。
【CateGory Index】: F822.0;F832.51;F224
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