Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Science & Technology Review》 2010-17
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Application of Time Varying Coupling Model in Prediction of Well Production

JIN Baoqiang1,TONG Kaijun1,SUN Hongjie2,XUAN Hongyan3 1.Bohai Oilfield Exploration and Development Institute,Tianjin Branch,CNOOC Limited,Tianjin 300452,China 2.Tianjin Branch,China Oilfield Services Limited,Tianjin 300452,China 3.First Production Plant,Qinghai Oilfield Company,China National Petroleum Corporation,Dunhuang 816400,Qinghai Province,China  
The variation of the oil well production against time is controlled by several factors,in an extremely complicated nonlinear manner.The conventional petroleum reservoir engineering method suffers often from uncertainty of the correlation parameters and a large prediction error.Our analysis shows that the oil well production data have some features of time series.Therefore,the technique of the phase space reconstruction and the G-P method can used to obtain the optimal embed dimension and then to identify the time series of the well oil production.On this basis,by using the support vector machine method,the chaos-SVM model with time varying character is built,.with a very high precision for short-term well productions.In a real application,we can supplement the new historical data in real time to make the rolling prediction.The example W8-5 well application indicates that the relative error of the forecast results is only 7%,which shows that the coupling model has a good forecast ability and is of practical value.
【CateGory Index】: TE328
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 7 Hits
1 Li Xiaogang1 Yang Zhaozhong1 Wu Xiaoni2 Jiang Hai1 (1. Graduate School of Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu 610500, China;2. Engineering Technology Institute of Great Wall Drilling Engineering Company, Panjin 124010, China);Chaos analysis of oil production rate variation of hydraulically-fractured well[J];Fault-Block Oil & Gas Field;2009-01
2 YANG Ji-li1, SHAO Li-min1, YANG Shao-qing2, LI Chang-rong3, HUANG Peng-fei3 (1. Dept.of Military Oceanography, Dalian Naval Academy, Dalian 116018 China;2. Dept.of Information & Communication Engineering, Dalian Naval Academy, Dalian 116018 China;3. Unit 91837,Zhoushan 316291 China);Wave forecast study based on chaos time series in Pingtan[J];Marine Forecasts;2008-04
3 CHEN Yu-hua1,YANG Yong-guo1,PENG Gao-hui2(1.School of Resources and Earth Sciences,China University of Mining and Technology,Xuzhou 221008,China;2.College of Mathematics and Information Sciences,North China University of Water Conservancy and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450011,China);Chaotic time series analysis and prediction for mine water inflow[J];Coal Geology & Exploration;2008-04
4 CHEN Zhi-hai~(1,2),DAI Yong~2,LANG Zhao-xin~1(1.China University of Petroleum,Beijing 102249,China;2.Exploration & Production Research Institute,Sinopec,Beijing 100083,China);Fractal characteristics and its significance of the oil well production rate in fracture-cavity reservoirs[J];Petroleum Exploration and Development;2006-01
5 TONG Kai-jun,SHAN Yu-ming,LI Hai-peng,LI Xing-yun(State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation,Chengdu University of Technology,Chengdu, Sichuan 610059,China);Application of Support Vector Regression Machine to Productivity Prediction in Gas Well[J];Xinjiang Petroleum Geology;2008-03
6 ZHAO Jin-sheng (Institute of Petroleum Engineering, University of Petroleum of China, Dongying Shandong 257061,China),LI Zhao-min,LI Bin-fei,et al.;OPTIMIZATION OF PROFILE PARAMETERS IN STEAM HUFF AND PUFF WELL BASED ONSUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE[J];Journal of Southwest Petroleum University;2007-05
7 CHENG Jian,BAI Jing-yi,QIAN Jian-sheng,LI Shi-yin(School of Information and Electrical Engineering,China University of Mining & Technology,Xuzhou,Jiangsu 221116,China);Short-Term Forecasting Method of Coalmine Gas Concentration Based on Chaotic Time Series[J];Journal of China University of Mining & Technology;2008-02
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZENG Qinghai1,MA Zhongjun1,WANG Yilin2(1.Nanyang Institute of Technology,Nanyang473000,China;2.School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Huazhong University of Sci.and Tec.,Wuhan430074,China);Research on the chloride transmission mechanism in concrete with chaos theory[J];Sichuan Building Science;2007-01
2 CAI Ai-min~1,ZHA Liang-song~2(1.Depterment of Land Information Engineering,Chuzhou College,Chuzhou 239012;2.College of Territorial Resources and Tourism,Anhui Normal University,Wuhu 241000);Time Series Features of the Flood and Drought Damaged Areas in Anhui Province Based on Fractal Dimension Theory[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural University;2005-04
3 LI Xiao-hong,FENG Xin-yan,LU Yi-yu,KANG Yong(China Education Ministry's Key Lab.for the Exploitation of South West Resources and the Environmental Disaster Control Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China);Research on the Forecasting Technology Based on Chaos Phase Space Reconstruction for the Gas Grade Appraising[J];Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering;2007-05
4 WANG Li-qing, WEI Xue-ye, WEN Wei-gang, XIE Tao (School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044,China);Study on the Fractal of A Current-Mode Buck-Boost Circuit from Order to Chaos[J];Journal of Northern Jiaotong University;2004-05
5 Xu Min Sun Ying (Suzhou Vocational University Suzhou 215104);Pretreatment Watermark Based on Chaos and Arnold Scrambling Technology[J];Office Informatization;2009-04
6 LU Jin-jun1,2,WANG Zhi-quan1(1.School of Automation,Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210094,Jiangsu,China;2.Center of Education and Technology,Nantong Vocational College,Nantong 226007,Jiangsu,China);An Improved Prediction Method of Network Traffic Flow Based on Chaos Characteristics[J];Acta Armamentarii;2007-11
7 LI Dou 1)WANG Feng JI Binghui XIANG Haige(Department of Electronics,School of Electronics Engineering and Computer Science,Peking University,Beijing,100871);The Study of Predictive MAC Protocol in Broadband Satellite Access Network with OBP[J];Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis;2007-05
8 GAO Hua-dong, HUO Da, TAO Lian-jin (College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China);Lateral Displacement Prediction of Deep Excavation Combining Chaos Theory With Credible Regions[J];Journal of Beijing Polytechnic University;2005-02
9 ZHU Chun-mei1,2,XU Xiao-li1,2,ZHANG Jian-min2(1.School of Electromechanical Engineering,Beijing Information Science and Technology University,Beijing 100192,China;2.School of Mechanical and Vehicular Engineering,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China);Condition development prediction of rotating machine based on chaos-neural networks[J];Journal of Beijing Institute of Machinery;2009-01
10 CAI Feng, ZENG Feng-zhang(School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China);ANN-ARMA Model for Forecasting Product Consumption Based on Non-Stationary Time Series[J];Transactions of Beijing Institute of Technology;2007-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Yu Dongsheng Chen Hao Wen Chaoju Sun Feiran(College of Information and Electrical Engineering,China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008,China);Analysis of chaotic behavior in switched reluctance motor drives based on Matlab[A];[C];2007
2 Wang Feng, Ji Binghui, Li dou (School of Electronics Engineering and Computer Science, Peking University, 100871);The Study of Self-Similar Traffic Prediction Based on Chaos Theory[A];[C];2006
3 Zhu Jiafu~(12) He Wei~1 Yang Hao~1 1 College of Electrical Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044 2 Department of Physics & Electronic Information Engineering,Chongqing University of Arts & Science,Chongqing.402168;Linear Approximation of In c(r)/Inr in Calculating Correlation Dimension of a Time Sequence[A];[C];2005
4 Zhao Junke, LI Yuxia ( DFEM Control Equipment Company Limited, SiChuan 618000; Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, China);The Chaotic Characteristic Analyze of the Power Price in our Country and Its Forecast[A];[C];2006
5 LI Ru-qi, SUN Yan, SUN Zhi-yuan (School of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China);Short-term Load Forecasting Model Based on Chaotic Theory, Correlation And Neural Networks[A];[C];2006
6 DOU Peng~(a,b) YANG Dao-wu~b LI Yi~a GONG Jie~a (a.College of Electrical and Information Engineering; b.College of Chemistry and Envionment Engineering.Changsha University of Science & Technology,Changsha 410076,China);Analysis of Transformer Oil Ageing and Frequency Characteristics of PD[A];[C];2008
7 Fu Qiang, Li Guo-liang (College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China; Doctoral Working Station of Beidahuang Company, Heilongjiang Land-Reclamation Bureau, Harbin 150040, China);Chaos Analysis of Series of Groundwater Depth in Sanjiang Plain[A];Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering[C];2006
8 Zhu Chunmei 1, 2,Xu Xiao-li 2 ,Zhang Jianmin1 (1.College of Mechanical and Vehicle,Beijing Institute of Technology ,Beijing 100081) (2.Dep. Of Mechanical Engineering,Beijing Information Scientific University, Beijing 100085 );Study of the Trend Prediction Method Based on Max Lyapunov Exponent for Rotating Machine Sets[A];[C];2008
9 LI Hong-quan MA Chao-qun ZOU Lin (School of Business,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China);Research on Chaotic Dynamic Characteristics in China Stock Market[A];[C];2005
10 JI Yanjie DENG Wei (Transportation College,Southeast University Nanjing 210096,China);Real-time data collection system and dynamic predicting of parking space[A];[C];2005
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Zhang Jun, Ge Xiang.;Application of Neural Network Technique to Productivity Evaluation in Gas field[J];Well Logging Technology;2001-01
2 Liu Lin(Engineering Design Institute,Southwest Company,SINOPEC,Deyang 61800,China),Yang Yu,Yang Yanjun.;Using BP Model Based on R/S Analysis to Predict Gas Well Production[J];Fault-Block Oil & Gas Field;2006-04
3 ZHANG Ya-jun, LIU Zhi-gang, HUO Bai-chao, ZHANG Da-bo(Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China);The combination forecasting model for power load based on support vector machine[J];Power Demand Side Management;2007-02
4 Wang Haiyan 1 Sheng Zhaohan 2 ( 1Department of Applied Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096) ( 2Institute of Systems Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096);Choice of the Parameters for the Phase Space Reconstruction of Chaotic Time Series[J];Journal of Southeast Univwrsity(Natural Science Edition);2000-05
5 LI Zhuo~1,LIU Bin~2,LIU Tie-nan~2(1.Goscience College,Daqing Petroleum Institute,Daqing,Heilongjiang 163318, China;2.Electronic and Information Engineering College,Daqing Petroleum Institute,Daqing,Heilongjiang 163318,China);Application of supportive vector machine to the prediction of production in oil fields[J];Journal of Daqing Petroleum Institute;2005-05
6 FU Wei-shu1 ,HE Shun-li2 ,RAN Ying-zhi3(1. Petroleum Exploration & Production Research Institute,SINOPEC, Beijing 100083,China; 2. University of Petroleum, Beijing 102200, China; 3. Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100039,China);Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters of Affecting Open-Flow Capacity of Gas Well in Changqing Gas Field[J];offshore Oil;2004-04
7 HUANG Xu,HUANG Chun,TANG Zhi qiang,ZHEN Wei lin,LI Xiao qing,ZHOU Qiu xia,GAO Zhi bin (Shengli Oilfield Branch Company,SINOPEC,Dongying 257231);Field Application of Integral Profile Control of Members 5~4-6~1 in West Block of Region 7 in Gudong Oilfield[J];Journal of Jianghan Petroleum Institute;2001-03
8 WU Xiang-yang (Dianqiangui Petroleum Exploration Bureau, SINOPEC, Kunming 650021);Model for Predicting the Efficiency of Profile Control Based on Support Vector Machine[J];Journal of Oil and Gas Technology;2006-05
9 YANG Zhi-hong,YAO Qiong-hui(Department of Electrical Engineering,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan430033,China);Study on a New Estimation Method of the Largest Lyapunov Exponent of Chaotic Systems[J];Computing Technology and Automation;2005-02
10 PAN Jie nan,CHEN Jiang feng,XU Wen peng (Jiaozuo Institute of Technology,Henan jiaozuo 454000,China);R/S analysis and fractal prediction of gas emission in coal mine[J];Coal Geology & Exploration;2001-03
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved