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《Control and Decision》 2010-08
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COG holder level prediction model based on least square support vector machine and its application

ZHANG Xiao-ping1,ZHAO Jun1,WANG Wei1,CONG Li-qun2,FENG Wei-min2,CHEN Wei-chang3(1.Research Center of Information and Control,Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116023,China;2.Automation Department,Shanghai Baosight Software Company Limited,Shanghai 201203,China;3.Energy Department,Shanghai Baosteel Company Limited,Shanghai 200431,China.)  
Aiming at the prediction for coke oven gas holder level in steel enterprises,which is very difficult to be modeled using the mechanism modeling,a gasholder level prediction model combined with the analysis of the gas production-consumption and level variation is established based on the least square support vector machine.A gradient grid search algorithm for selecting the model’s parameters and an effective big samples selection approach to build the training samples are proposed to improve the prediction accuracy.The simulation results using the practical gas data in Shanghai Baosteel show that,the proposed method has shorter parameter optimization time and better performance,and can provide scientific guidance for the gas balance scheduling process.
【Fund】: 国家863计划项目(2007AA04Z1A9)
【CateGory Index】: TQ541
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