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《气象与环境研究(英文版)》 2015-01
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Research and Analysis on Refined Precipitation Forecast Method of Highway during Flood Season in Gansu Province

Liu Kang;Li Zhaorong;Wang Yousheng;Zhang Yu;Yang Ruihong;He Jinmei;Wang Dongmei;Yin Chun;Gansu Provincial Meteorological Service Center;Institute of Arid Meteorology China Meteorological Administration;Gansu Province Artificial Modification Office;  
In this paper,T639 global spectral model numerical forecast products issued by numerical prediction center of China Meteorological Administration and precipitation data at 676 regional stations of Gansu during flood season were used firstly for interpretation.Then,through the establishment of multiple linear stepwise regression equation,daily precipitation forecast with the time interval of 6hduring 0-72 hin May,2013 in Gansu Province was obtained.By precipitation forecast verification analysis,it was found that the precipitation forecast in Hexi region and central Gansu Province had best effect;forecast in some places of east Hedong region had relatively good effect;part of the city or state forecast effect in the plateau slope zone was relatively lower.The refined precipitation forecast had certain reference and use value in the post-production Gansu Province highway forecasting during flood season.
【Fund】: Supported by Achievement Transformation Project of Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau China(2014-19);; General Program of Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau China(2015-05)
【CateGory Index】: P457.6
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