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《Journal of Ocean University of Qingdao》 2005-04
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The Climate Change in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley over the Past 50 Years

TIAN Hong1, LI Chun2 , ZHANG Shi-Yang2(1. Meteorological Bureau of Anhui Province, Hefei 230061, China; 2. Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266003, China)  
Using the data for the temperature and precipitation during the past 50 year, the climate change in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley is analyzed. The results indicate that (1) Warming is the most primary mode of climate change, especially in winter. The precipitation also increased. Both climate base states of temperature and precipitation vary from low to high in the past 50 years. (2) Climate variability also varies with time, and at present both temperature and precipitation are in a phase of high base state and high climate variability so that we should be aware of frequent occurrences of extreme climate events. (3) There is an obvious climate jump due to temperature and precipitation respectively. The jump point of temperature happened in 1986 and that of precipitation happened in 1968. After the jumps both the mean annual temperature and the mean annual precipitation increased. According to abrupt change analysis, we can divide the past 50 years into three phases, i.e. the cold-dry phase (1950s~1960s), cold-wet phase (1970s~1980s) and warm-wet phase (since 1990s).
【Fund】: 农业部农业环境与气候变化重点开放实验室项目“气候变化对安徽农业影响的评估与适应对策研究”;; 南京信息工程大学KLME开放项目(Kjs0305)资助
【CateGory Index】: P467
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