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《Advances in Climate Change Research》 2006-01
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National Assessment Report of Climate Change (I): Climate change in China and its future trend

DING Yihui, REN Guoyu, SHI Guangyu, GONG Peng, ZHENG Xunhua, ZHAI Panmao, ZHANG De'er , ZHAO Zongci , WANG Shaowu WANG Huijun, LUO Yong, CHEN Deliang, GAO Xuejie, DAI Xiaosu ( National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China',Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China; Nanjing University, Nanjing Jiangsu 210093, China; Department of Forecasting Services and Disaster Mitigation, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;The School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871:Department of Scientific and Technological Development, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081 .China )  
The climate change in China shows a considerable similarity to the global change, however, there still exist significant differences between them. In the context of the global warming, the annual mean surface temperature has significantly increased during the past 100 years, with slightly greater magnitude of temperature increase than the globe . The precipitation trends during the last 50 and 100 years are not obvious ,but since 1956 it has assumed a weak increasing trend. The frequency and intensity of main extreme weather and climate events have also assumed significant change. The research has shown that the CO2 emission in China has continuously increased and the sum of positive radiative forcings produced by greenhouse gases is responsible for climate warming. The projection of climate change for the 21 st century has indicated that in the future 20-100 years, the surface temperature will continue to increase and precipitation also has an increasing trend.
【Fund】: “十五”国家科技攻关计划“重大环境问题对策与关键支撑技术研究”(2003BA614A-15)资助
【CateGory Index】: P467
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