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《Advances in Climate Change Research》 2008-04
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Effects of Climate Change on Runoff Volume in the Upper Reaches of the Hanjiang River

Cai Xinling1, Sun Xian1, Qiao Qiuwen2, Jiang Chuangye1, Mao Mingce1(1 Shaanxi Climate Center, Xi’an 710014, China; 2 Northwest China Grid Company Limited, Xi’an 710048, China)  
Based on the monthly temperature and precipitation data at 14 weather stations from 1961 to 2005, the climate change characteristics in the upper reaches of the Hanjiang River upstream of Ankang in the past 45 years were analyzed. The correlation between the temperature and precipitation at each meteorological station and the annual natural runoff volume at Ankang hydrological station were calculated. After selecting the representative stations, we developed the climatic model for calculating the annual natural runoff volume, and analyzed the sensitivity of natural runoff volume to climate change and the effect of climate change on the runoff volume. The results show that the annual natural runoff volume of the Hanjiang River increases with the increase of precipitation but decreases with the increase of temperature, and that the response of the annual natural runoff volume is more sensitive to precipitation changes rather than to temperature changes.
【Fund】: 陕西省气象局重点项目“陕西省气候变化的精细化检测、预估及其影响评估研究”资助
【CateGory Index】: P467
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