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《Climatic and Environmental Research》 2008-04
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Prediction of Climate Anomalies over China in January 2008 with IAP Climate Models and Its Verification

CHEN Hong,LANG Xian-Mei,ZHOU Guang-Qing,and LIN Zhao-HuiInstitute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029  
By using IAP DCP-Ⅱ and IAP9L-AGCM,the winter climate anomalies in China during 2007 have been predicted,then the results have been verified by comparing with the observational data.By using ENSO prediction system,the evolution of sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTA) over tropical Pacific Ocean in 2007 winter has been predicted firstly,verifications show that the SSTA over tropical Pacific Ocean has been quite well predicted,also IAP DCP-Ⅱ and IAP9L-AGCM have been applied to the prediction of winter climate anomalies over China based on the predicted SSTA over tropical Pacific Ocean.Comparisons with the observation show that,IAP DCP-Ⅱ and IAP9L-AGCM all have some skills for the prediction of the observed circulation anomalies and climate anomalies over China in January 2008,the strong East Asian winter monsoon,the stronger than normal precipitation and cold temperature over southern part of China,the hot and dry winter over Northeast China all have been well predicted.
【Fund】: 中国科学院大气物理研究所创新基金领域前沿重点项目IAP07120;; 国家自然科学基金资助项目40605023;; 国家科技支撑计划项目2006BAC02B04;; 中国科学院知识创新工程领域前沿项目IAP07216
【CateGory Index】: P433
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