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《Scientia Meteorologica Sinica》 2001-01
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CLIMATE SECULAR CHANGE AND BASE STATE OVER THE MID-LOWER REACHES OF YANGTZE RIVER

Chen Huai; Wang Yongbo; Shi Neng (Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nabing 210044)  
In the present paper secular change in seasonal and annual rainfall and mean temperature over mid to lower reaches of the Yangtze River since 1885 is invethatgated. Re- sults show that their trends are positive with seasonal differences,and that spring is an ap- parent season both temperature rising and rainfall. The climate base state of rainfall and tem- perature along with its climate variability features and time evolution over the mid to lower of the Yangtze reaches has also been examined. The results indicate that the summer temper- ature anomaly subsequent after the 1960s is sometimes two fold as high as before;the lower wintertime temperature variability in the recent warm background shows that a period of warm winter persistence is likely to be in the reaches;the summer rainfall there is in a phase of high base state and high climate variability after the 1980s so that we must be aware of frequent occurrence of summer flood/drought events;the summer rainfall is in close anti- correlation with the climate base state of Indian monsoon and the Indian and east Asian sum- mer monsoons are in strongly positive correlation with the summer temperature of the reach- es on range of time scales.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金!NO.49875019
【CateGory Index】: P468
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