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《Scientia Meteorologica Sinica》 2006-02
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A STUDY ON SUBTLE MOS FORECASTING METHOD OF WIND

Chen Yuying Chen Xiaoguang Ma Jinren Ma Shaiyan(Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster prevention and Reduction of Ningxia,Yinchuan 750002)  
Using the products exported by the station of MM5 mode and multi-linear and regressive MOS statistical method,we forecast hourly wind speed and direction of 48h and 25 stations of Ningxia.Based on inspection of the forecast from June of 2004 to April in 2005 nearly for one year,the result shows:MOS method has stronger forecast ability to hourly wind speed and certain forecast ability to hourly wind direction and also improves original MM5 mode.But the method cant't be used now.It must be improved and perfected step by step.
【Fund】: 科技部社会公益研究专项(编号:2004DIB3J121);; 中国气象局课题"中尺度数值预报模式和预报产品释用技术在宁夏新一代天气预报业务技术中的推广应用"共同资助
【CateGory Index】: P457.5
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