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《Scientia Meteorologica Sinica》 2006-05
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RESEARCH ON MULTI-LEVEL FORECAST SYSTEM OF RAIN-INDUCED DEBRIS FLOW

Zhang Jinghong~(1,2) Wei Fangqiang~(1) Liu Shuzhen~(1) Gao Kechang~(1)(1Institute of Mountain Hazard and Environment,CAS,Chengdu 610041)(2Hainan Meteorological & Ecological Academy,Haikou 570203)  
In this paper,based on 4 methods-numerical weather prediction model,cloud image of stationary meteorological satellite,echo image of meteorological radar and telemetry,multi-time and space scale precipitation prediction products can be achieved,and multi-layer project of debris flow forecast is established with different time and space scale to face different forecast precision.The forecast system has the advantages in combination of regions and valleys,rational compounding of time and space scale.The project,which has debris flow forecast models of Sichuan province,Liangshan region and single ravine,can forecast debris flow in various levels and meets the demand of hazard mitigation at corresponding level.
【Fund】: 中国科学院山地灾害与环境研究所创新前沿项目(编号:C3200307)资助
【CateGory Index】: P457;P642.23
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