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《Meteorological Monthly》 2001-09
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On Forecasting of Rainfall over Zhoushan in Rainy Season

Wang Lei Cao Meilan (Zhoushan Meteorological Observatory, Zhejiang Province 316004)  
With stepwise regression analysis on the basis of the criterion from Prediction Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) and on the basis of the criterion from Residual Sum of Squares (RSS),the forecasting model of precipitation over Zhoushan in Rainy season (May to September) were studied.Moreover,the scheme of forecast ensemble by forecast results of two predictive method is proposed.Results show that effects of the prediction of this scheme are superior.
【Fund】: 浙江省自然科学基金资助项目 (4 980 2 2 )资助
【CateGory Index】: P457.6
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1 HE Xiaojuan(Qinzhou Weather Bureau, Qinzhou, Guangxi, 535000);Establishing the Precipitation Forecast by Utilizing the Double Optimized Subsets of Multi-factors Screening and Mean-value Generated Function Serial[J];Journal of Guangxi Meteorology;2002-04
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Yao Dirong Yu Zhangxiao(Department of Geography , Hangzhou University , (Zhejiang Research Institute of Meteorological Hangzhou, 710028) Science, Hangzhou, 310021);The Stepwise Algorithm for Selecting Predictors on the Basis of the Criterion from Prediction Sum of Squares[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;1992-02
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 CUI Maochang ①,LIAN Shumin ①,JI Liren ② (①Institue of Oceanology,Chinese Acdamy of Science,Qingdao 266071,China; ②Institue of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100080,China);WEEKLY RAINFALL IN CHINA AND WEEKLY MEAN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IN RELATED OCEANS[J];ADVANCE IN EARTH SCIENCES;2000-01
2 HUI Xiao-ying 1, 2,WANG Cheng-hai 2,ZUO Hong-chao+1, DONG Wen-jie 3 (1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China; 2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China; 3. National Climate Central, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China);Abnormal Features of Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes in Arid Region of Northern China[J];Plateau Meteorology;2005-03
3 KONG Li(Jiading District Meteorology Bureau in Shanghai,Shanghai 201821);Analysis on Precipitation,Temperature in Recent 60 Years in East China[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-15
4 LI Zhuo-lun1,2,DONG Chun-yu1,2,YANG Yu-da2,MAN Zhi-min2(1.College of Earth and Environmental Science,Center for Hydrologic Cycle and Water Resources in Arid Region,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China;2.Center for Historical Geography of Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China);CHARACTERISTICS OF SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL FLOOD DISTRIBUTION IN MIDDLE AND LOWER REACHES OF THE YANGTZE RIVER IN 1869[J];Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin;2010-S1
5 WANG Hongjun1,BAI Aijuan2(1.Xi'an Satellite Control Center,Weinan 714000,P.R.China;2.,Chengdu University,Chengdu 610225,P.R.China);The severe drought in eastern China by the anomalies atmospheric circulation in winter 2008[J];Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment;2010-11
6 GAO An-chun et al (Linyi Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province,Linyi,Shandong 276004);Analysis on precipitation Causes in June in Linyi[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-25
7 HAO Li-sheng et al (Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210044 );Analysis of the Intrinsic Characteristics of Precipitation Change in North China from 1961 to 2008[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-24
8 NIU Ruoyun1,SU Aifang2,MA Jie1,and LV Xuedong3 1 National Meteorological Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081 2 Meteorological Bureau of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 4500033 Meteorological Bureau of Sichuan Province,Chengdu 610071;The Difference of the Atmospheric Circulation Features and Dynamical Diagnosis about the Typical Meiyu Patterns of Southern Flood(Drought) and Northern Drought(Flood)[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2011-01
9 LI Fei1 LI Ji2 GUAN Zhao-yong3(1.School of Atmospheric Sciences,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Shenyang Regional Climate Center,Shenyang 110016,China;3.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster in Jiangsu Province,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China);Inter-decadal variations of summer temperature in Northeast China and relationships with Pacific SSTA[J];Journal of Meteorology and Environment;2010-03
10 HAO Li-sheng1,2,3,MIN Jin-zhong1,GU Guang-qin2,3(1.Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Hebei Climate Center,Shijiazhuang 050021,China;3.Hebei Meteorological and Ecological Environment Laboratory,Shijiazhuang 050021,China);Relationship between Summer Precipitation Reduction in North China and Atmospheric Circulation Anomalies in Northern Hemisphere[J];Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences;2010-04
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1 XIE Wu-san,TIAN Hong (Anhui Climate Center,Hefei 230031,China);Analysis of the Spatial-temporal Characteristics of Drought over Anhui Province under Global Warming[A];[C];2010
2 Zhou Shuxue1,2 Huang Chunsheng3 Zhang Xiaohong4 Peng Yuhai3 (1 Department of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing Univercity, Jiangsu Nanjing, 210093; 2 Weather Modification Office, Meteorological Bureau of Anhui Province, Anhui Hefei,230061; 3 Bengbu Meteorological Office, Anhui Bengbu 233000; 4 Huaihe River Basin Meteorological Center ,Anhui Bengbu 233000;);Analysis of Circulation Systems and Characters of Weather during 2007 Huaihe River Rainy Season[A];[C];2010
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Zhang Wancheng Zheng Jianmeng (Honghe Meteorological Office,Mengzi,Yunnan Province, 661100) Xie Ming′en (Yunnan Meteorological Bureau);Application of Optimum Subset Regression to Forecast the Beginning of the Rainy Season in the Low Latitude Plateau[J];METEOROLOGICAL MONTHLY;2000-11
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 YAO Xuehua(Qinzhou Agricultural School, Qinzhou, 535000, China);Study on the Forecast of Ending Date of Raining Days With Low Temperature in Spring of Qinzhou[J];Journal of Guangxi Meteorology;2003-01
2 WU Xiu-lian,JIANG Li-juan,LI Zi-hua (Guilin Meteorological Bureau,Guangxi Guilin 541001);The Analysis and Forecast for the Maximun-level of Lijiang River[J];Journal of Guangxi Meteorology;2006-03
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