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Interpretation of η Numerical Model:The Mud-rock Flow Landslip Forecasting System of Sichuan Basin

Yu Shuhua 1 Xu Huiming 2 He Guangbi 1 Gao Wenliang 1 (1.Institute of Plateau Meteorology, CMA, Chengdu 610072; 2. Sichuan Province Meteorological Observatory)  
Based on the meteorological data of 11 years, the meteorological conditions of mud-rock flow landslip occurrence in Sichuan Basin are analyzed, and a forecasting model of mud-rock flow landslip in Sichuan basin is developed. By interpreting and applying η numerical model, a heavy rain forecasting method is studied in Sichuan basin. And a mud-rock flow landslip and η numerical model interpretation system in Sichuan basin is developed. The result is good through the operational forecast in 2003.
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