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《Journal of Xihua University(Natural Science Edition)》 2006-05
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Application of Elastic Method of Traffic Volume Forecasting in Estimating the Feasibility of Highway Project

LI Hui(School of Transportation and Automotive Engineering,Xihua University,Chengdu 610039 China),LIN Rong-na.  
The elastic method is one combined predicting approach in quality as well as in quantity.The key issue for using the elastic method in the traffic volume forecasting is the determination elasticity coefficient.This paper chooses automobile existing quantity,passengers and cargo freight volume,the channel volume of traffic statistical data and GDP of communication zone as the index of the coefficient of elasticity,to determination elasticity coefficient through return forecast.This method is utilized in(provincial road 207) the Weiyuan section in feasibility research of highway project.The given example verifies the correctness of elastic method,and has reference value for the traffic volume forecasting.
【CateGory Index】: U491.14
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