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《Journal of Sichuan University(Engineering Science Edition)》 2006-03
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The Monthly Runoff Prediction of Zi Ping-pu by Improved Elman Model

XU Liu-xing,LIANG Chuan,QIN Yuan-qing(School of Water Resource and Hydropower,Sichuan Univ.,Chengdu 610065,China)  
The Elman network has a context layer which feeds the hidden-layer output at previous moment back to the hidden-layer current input.This article improves the Elman network.The monthly runoff of the upper reach of the Min-jiang River is examined by improved Elman Network.The result of prediction shows the model is feasible and reasonable.
【Fund】: 国家重点基础研究发展计划资助项目(2003CB415202)
【CateGory Index】: TV124
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