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《Agricultural Equipment & Vehicle Engineering》 2012-06
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Market Forecast of Compact Electric Vehicle in China Based on System Dynamic and Conjoint Analysis

MA Jun, WEN Zhi-xin (College of Automotive Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai City 201804, China)  
The development of compact electric vehicle market is influenced by various factors, such as the product technique mature degree, fundamental equipment coverage, gasoline price fluctuation and consumer acceptance of the product. In this paper, the theory of system dynamic is used to study the development system of compact EV market in China, system dynamic model is established integrating the above mentioned influencing factors, as well as consumers' views based on conjoint analysis method. On this basis, the market development forecast in 10 years is researched.
【CateGory Index】: N941.3;F426.471
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