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《Global Geology》 2006-03
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Present status of research and its developmental tendency on prediction and early warning of geologic hazards

GONG Qing-hua~ 1,2 , HUANG Guang-qing~1, GUO Min~3, ZHANG Yue-qiao~4 1. Guangzhou Institute of Geography, CAS, Guangzhou 510070, Guangdong, China; 2. South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, CAS, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, China;3. College of Earth Sciences, Jilin University, Changchun 130061, Jilin, China;4. Petro China Exploration and Development Research Institute, Beijing 100083, China  
At present, the better prediction and warning methods of geologic hazards in the world include the phenomenon monitoring method, statistical analysis method, nonlinear system theory prediction method, coupling analysis method of endogenic and exogenic geological processes. On the basis of the methods and summarizing the existent problems, applying the methods and integrating the “3S” technology, the authors predict establishing an integrated system, including observation, research, assessment, forecast and warning, defending and mending, is the promising research prospect.
【CateGory Index】: X43
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