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《Water Power》 2005-08
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Dynamic control of reservoir normal level in flood season based on short-term rainfall forecast

Zhou Hui-cheng1 Li Li-qin1 Hu Jun2 Liu Song2 Zhang Ming-gang2 1.Dalian University of Technology Dalian Liaoning 116024;2.Danjiangkou Bureau of Water Control Project Danjiangkou Hubei 442700)  
Danjiangkou Reservoir is taken as an example to give an application for the new idea of controlling reservoir normal level in flood season RNLFS dynamically based on rainfall forecast. First the accuracy analysis of rainfall forecast for Danjiangkou Reservoir basin and its three regions is given so that the rainfall forecasts for 24-hour and 48-hour can be used in more safety way. Then the flood operation method controlling RNLFS dynamically is put forward in terms of short-term rainfall forecasting information. At last the risks from rainfall forecast errors and benefits from controlling RNLFS dynamically are analyzed. It is shown that no risks are added when 24-hour rainfall forecasts are used and much more hydropower can be generated than before.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(50479056);; 教育部科技研究重点项目(01054)
【CateGory Index】: P338.1;TV697.11
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